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          "draw": 0.12726245054323934,
          "home": 0.06921874018715066,
          "over25": 0.7554240631163709,
          "under25": 0.2445759368836291
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      },
      "home": "Sevilla",
      "id": "replay-6747a35571bf4f51",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T19:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 1.19,
        "draw": 7.42,
        "home": 11.92,
        "over25": 1.24,
        "under25": 3.83
      },
      "score": null
    }
  ],
  "id": "daily-2026-09-18-r6",
  "kickoff_window": "Next 24 hours",
  "label": "Daily slate \u00b7 19 September",
  "lock_at": "2026-09-19T18:45:00Z",
  "note": "Tips and stakes were published before the first kickoff and are now sealed for settlement.",
  "policy": {
    "bet_policy": {
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      "flat_stake_units": 10.0,
      "longshot_decimal_odds": 5.0,
      "longshot_flat_stake_units": 5.0,
      "market_similarity_is_failure": false,
      "maximum_bets_per_fixture": 1,
      "maximum_bets_per_round": 5,
      "maximum_decimal_odds": 3.0,
      "maximum_longshot_bets": 1,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_fraction": 0.005,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_units": 5.0,
      "maximum_market_probability_gap": 0.15,
      "maximum_round_stake_fraction": 0.05,
      "maximum_round_stake_units": 50.0,
      "maximum_single_stake_fraction": 0.01,
      "maximum_total_open_exposure_fraction": 0.15,
      "minimum_point_ev": 0.02,
      "stake_assignment": "commissioner-flat-capped",
      "starting_bankroll_units": 1000.0,
      "unsupported_without_evidence_decimal_odds": 8.0
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    "policy_version": "balanced-paper-v2",
    "rubric_sha256": "80cb7810d1fbd5a1602a90ae5401e8c31933db70f1d1a60d8349918093ff7887",
    "rubric_version": "balanced-paper-v2",
    "validator_version": "2"
  },
  "published_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:28.541114Z",
  "snapshot_id": "sha256:b40bb5fdcd7117f6871e5e3a03e79dcfc264d83206109c1dabfd53ccb8a9be7c",
  "status": "sealed",
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          "status": "valid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": true,
          "validation_status": "live"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
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        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:26.788274Z",
      "notes": "Commissioner predict(features) compatibility fallback."
    },
    "codex": {
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      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "valid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": true,
          "validation_status": "live"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
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          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:26.759963Z",
      "notes": "Commissioner predict(features) compatibility fallback."
    },
    "gemini": {
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        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
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            "bet 2 outside-paper-price-band"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 2
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 1,
          "official_stake": 10.0,
          "policy_version": "balanced-paper-v2",
          "requested_bets": 3
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
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          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:28.537989Z",
      "notes": "Commissioner predict(features) compatibility fallback.",
      "policy_suppressed_bets": {
        "outside-paper-price-band": 2
      }
    },
    "gpt-luna": {
      "decision_time": "2026-09-18T19:05:09.816632Z",
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        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
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          "validation_errors": [
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            "bet 2 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet 2 listed odds 11.9200 require a pre-approved price-band evidence exception",
            "bet 6 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet 7 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet 8 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet count 9 exceeds policy maximum 5",
            "bet 0 stake 22.670000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 9.386360",
            "bet 1 stake 21.080000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 9.386360",
            "bet 2 stake 19.410000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 4.693180",
            "bet 3 stake 15.570000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 9.386360",
            "bet 4 stake 15.330000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 9.386360",
            "bet 5 stake 10.310000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 9.386360",
            "bet 7 stake 6.500000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 4.693180",
            "fixture replay-6747a35571bf4f51 has 2 bets; policy maximum is 1",
            "fixture replay-d0d1454aea85db3c has 2 bets; policy maximum is 1",
            "fixture replay-f4eeec7bcc3d679e has 2 bets; policy maximum is 1",
            "longshot bet count 2 exceeds policy maximum 1",
            "longshot stake 25.910000 exceeds policy cap 5.000000",
            "total stake 122.410000 exceeds policy round cap 46.931800",
            "open exposure 263.200000 would exceed policy cap 140.795400"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "exposure-cap": 4,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 4,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 0,
          "official_stake": 0.0,
          "policy_version": "balanced-paper-v2",
          "requested_bets": 9
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:26.764754Z",
      "notes": "Commissioner predict(features) compatibility fallback.",
      "policy_suppressed_bets": {
        "exposure-cap": 4,
        "outside-paper-price-band": 4,
        "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
      }
    },
    "grok": {
      "decision_time": "2026-09-18T19:05:09.816632Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "valid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": true,
          "validation_status": "live"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:26.757048Z",
      "notes": "Commissioner predict(features) compatibility fallback."
    },
    "kimi": {
      "decision_time": "2026-09-18T19:05:09.816632Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "valid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": true,
          "validation_status": "live"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:26.748671Z",
      "notes": "Commissioner predict(features) compatibility fallback."
    },
    "kimi-k27": {
      "decision_time": "2026-09-18T19:05:09.816632Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "bet 4 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet 5 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet 7 unsupported-market-disagreement",
            "bet 8 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet 8 listed odds 11.9200 require a pre-approved price-band evidence exception",
            "bet 9 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet count 10 exceeds policy maximum 5",
            "bet 1 stake 32.070000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 9.722566",
            "bet 3 stake 32.090000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 9.722566",
            "bet 5 stake 42.290000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 9.722566",
            "bet 6 stake 26.930000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 9.722566",
            "bet 7 stake 42.290000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 9.722566",
            "bet 8 stake 6.630000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 4.861283",
            "fixture replay-6747a35571bf4f51 has 2 bets; policy maximum is 1",
            "fixture replay-87ce069500c97c4a has 2 bets; policy maximum is 1",
            "fixture replay-fb85a185d3f269a5 has 3 bets; policy maximum is 1",
            "longshot bet count 2 exceeds policy maximum 1",
            "longshot stake 9.660000 exceeds policy cap 5.000000",
            "total stake 200.900000 exceeds policy round cap 48.612830",
            "open exposure 327.260000 would exceed policy cap 145.838490"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "exposure-cap": 1,
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 1,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 3,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1,
            "unsupported-market-disagreement": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 19.47,
          "policy_version": "balanced-paper-v2",
          "requested_bets": 10
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": true,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:27.214706Z",
      "notes": "Commissioner predict(features) compatibility fallback.",
      "policy_suppressed_bets": {
        "exposure-cap": 1,
        "fixture-bet-count-cap": 1,
        "outside-paper-price-band": 3,
        "unsupported-extreme-price": 1,
        "unsupported-market-disagreement": 1
      }
    },
    "minimax": {
      "decision_time": "2026-09-18T19:05:09.816632Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "valid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": true,
          "validation_status": "live"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:26.769506Z",
      "notes": "Commissioner predict(features) compatibility fallback."
    },
    "minimax-m3": {
      "decision_time": "2026-09-18T19:05:09.816632Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "bet 0 unsupported-market-disagreement",
            "bet 1 unsupported-market-disagreement",
            "bet 2 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet 3 unsupported-market-disagreement",
            "bet 0 stake 64.020000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 10.000000",
            "bet 1 stake 80.210000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 10.000000",
            "bet 2 stake 62.630000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 10.000000",
            "bet 3 stake 75.750000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 10.000000",
            "bet 4 stake 42.480000 exceeds policy single-bet cap 10.000000",
            "total stake 325.090000 exceeds policy round cap 50.000000",
            "open exposure 361.950000 would exceed policy cap 156.170460"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 1,
            "unsupported-market-disagreement": 3
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 1,
          "official_stake": 10.0,
          "policy_version": "balanced-paper-v2",
          "requested_bets": 5
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": true,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:26.757800Z",
      "notes": "Commissioner predict(features) compatibility fallback.",
      "policy_suppressed_bets": {
        "outside-paper-price-band": 1,
        "unsupported-market-disagreement": 3
      }
    },
    "qwen": {
      "decision_time": "2026-09-18T19:05:09.816632Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "valid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": true,
          "validation_status": "live"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-09-18T19:05:26.762009Z",
      "notes": "Commissioner predict(features) compatibility fallback."
    }
  }
}