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          "away": 0.14036441265230007,
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          "away": 0.21685081204470447,
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          "away": 0.15810433829873188,
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          "away": 0.17465851226859938,
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        "market": {
          "away": 0.14639419364801565,
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        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.18344028586720684,
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          "away": 0.23926752,
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          "away": 0.17448943174325368,
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      "home": "Napoli",
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      "kickoff": "2026-10-10T18:45:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 6.44,
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    {
      "away": "Villarreal",
      "competition": "La Liga",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.11626913087856236,
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          "away": 0.1342997880056338,
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          "away": 0.15142103226359763,
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        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.14107308456405257,
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          "away": 0.14407997467566003,
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        "market": {
          "away": 0.14061471942851772,
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          "away": 0.1655955704755605,
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          "away": 0.15745028,
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          "away": 0.11442424323804151,
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      "home": "Real Madrid",
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      "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
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  "id": "daily-2026-10-09-r9",
  "kickoff_window": "Next 24 hours",
  "label": "Daily slate \u00b7 10 October",
  "lock_at": "2026-10-10T18:45:00Z",
  "note": "Tips and stakes were published before the first kickoff and are now sealed for settlement.",
  "policy": {
    "bet_policy": {
      "evidence_status": "required-paper-picks-not-a-positive-value-claim",
      "flat_stake_units": 1.0,
      "longshot_decimal_odds": 5.0,
      "longshot_flat_stake_units": 5.0,
      "market_similarity_is_failure": false,
      "maximum_bets_per_fixture": 1,
      "maximum_bets_per_round": 3,
      "maximum_decimal_odds": 3.0,
      "maximum_longshot_bets": 1,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_fraction": 0.005,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_units": 5.0,
      "maximum_market_probability_gap": 0.15,
      "maximum_round_stake_fraction": 0.05,
      "maximum_round_stake_units": 3.0,
      "maximum_single_stake_fraction": 0.01,
      "maximum_total_open_exposure_fraction": 0.15,
      "minimum_point_ev": -1.0,
      "selection_mode": "required-ranked-paper",
      "stake_assignment": "commissioner-flat-capped",
      "starting_bankroll_units": 1000.0,
      "unsupported_without_evidence_decimal_odds": 8.0
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    "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "rubric_sha256": "7ef0538587aff0e3fee1741d26f53b9190b864412103d833aa4abcaf19ae761e",
    "rubric_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
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  "published_at": "2026-10-09T19:05:27.657992Z",
  "snapshot_id": "sha256:43c010ce056b9ef3e4173cc87bbf735a82762c5b38ad476760f34697a892ba8a",
  "status": "sealed",
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          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
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        "commissioner_fallback": {
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          "status": "accepted",
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      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T19:05:19.736282Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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    "codex": {
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        "commissioner_fallback": {
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      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T19:05:19.736330Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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    "gemini": {
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        "commissioner_fallback": {
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          "status": "accepted",
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      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T19:05:21.434685Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "glm-flash": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-09T19:05:09.770030Z",
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        "adapter": {
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          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
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          "dropped_by_reason": {
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        "commissioner_fallback": {
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          "status": "accepted",
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      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T19:05:19.742683Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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    "kimi": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-09T19:05:09.770030Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
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          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
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        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
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          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
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            "outside-paper-price-band": 12,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 12,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 2
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          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
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        "commissioner_fallback": {
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          "status": "accepted",
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      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T19:05:19.746940Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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    "mimo": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-09T19:05:09.770030Z",
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        "adapter": {
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          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
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            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
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        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
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            "outside-paper-price-band": 12,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 12,
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        "commissioner_fallback": {
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      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T19:05:27.655432Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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    "qwen": {
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      "execution_provenance": {
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        "adapter": {
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        "commissioner_fallback": {
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      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T19:05:19.728631Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
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}