{
  "available_bankrolls": {
    "claude": 994.99,
    "codex": 997.88,
    "gemini": 1009.5441,
    "glm-flash": 1002.86,
    "kimi": 1000.98,
    "mimo": 999.73,
    "qwen": 994.7
  },
  "bets": [
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-592fe26af12c6472",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.12400839,
      "odds": 2.7,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.416, model EV=+12.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-d73569d853bb8569",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.00327339,
      "odds": 1.51,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.664, model EV=+0.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-dfee5fd044db9896",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.00600969,
      "odds": 1.37,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.726, model EV=-0.6%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-65a1a99a0177daa6",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03535866,
      "odds": 2.57,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.375, model EV=-3.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-dfee5fd044db9896",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05504708,
      "odds": 1.32,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.716, model EV=-5.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-d73569d853bb8569",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05681799,
      "odds": 1.45,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.650, model EV=-5.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-65a1a99a0177daa6",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.10543655,
      "odds": 2.8,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.395, model EV=+10.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-592fe26af12c6472",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01626284,
      "odds": 2.46,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.400, model EV=-1.6%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-dfee5fd044db9896",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02466846,
      "odds": 1.37,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.712, model EV=-2.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-592fe26af12c6472",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.00957847,
      "odds": 2.7,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.374, model EV=+1.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-65a1a99a0177daa6",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02123307,
      "odds": 2.57,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.381, model EV=-2.1%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-dfee5fd044db9896",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05416838,
      "odds": 1.37,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.690, model EV=-5.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-dfee5fd044db9896",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.024895,
      "odds": 2.98,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.327, model EV=-2.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-592fe26af12c6472",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03522798,
      "odds": 2.46,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.392, model EV=-3.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-d73569d853bb8569",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.0453654,
      "odds": 2.46,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.388, model EV=-4.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-d73569d853bb8569",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.01352963,
      "odds": 2.46,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.412, model EV=+1.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-65a1a99a0177daa6",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.00778435,
      "odds": 2.8,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.360, model EV=+0.8%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-592fe26af12c6472",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04408352,
      "odds": 2.7,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.354, model EV=-4.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-592fe26af12c6472",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.01208783,
      "odds": 2.7,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.375, model EV=+1.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-d73569d853bb8569",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02318246,
      "odds": 1.45,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.674, model EV=-2.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-dfee5fd044db9896",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03317604,
      "odds": 1.32,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.732, model EV=-3.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    }
  ],
  "fingerprint": "sha256:8e2fedf9b56b52bbf19fdf6e85844e03b3675747c9fb8915432f5877e57368c9",
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "away": "Werder Bremen",
      "competition": "Bundesliga",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.10715882573811361,
          "draw": 0.16306528522078859,
          "home": 0.7297758890410978,
          "over25": 0.7255403752852189,
          "under25": 0.27445962471478114
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.11066035629163729,
          "draw": 0.17346621688915553,
          "home": 0.7158734268192072,
          "over25": 0.6847144056214457,
          "under25": 0.3152855943785543
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.10672472646336206,
          "draw": 0.15559085784515436,
          "home": 0.7376844156914836,
          "over25": 0.7119208316536392,
          "under25": 0.2880791683463608
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.11811992186807463,
          "draw": 0.17508920548180007,
          "home": 0.7067908726501253,
          "over25": 0.672783555898141,
          "under25": 0.327216444101859
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.12153541747690425,
          "draw": 0.17058030573217983,
          "home": 0.7078842767909159,
          "over25": 0.6903880469299198,
          "under25": 0.30961195307008016
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.11577506971793172,
          "draw": 0.16940158315998988,
          "home": 0.7148233471220784,
          "over25": 0.6850574712643679,
          "under25": 0.3149425287356322
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.15357442369966903,
          "draw": 0.17367093242317497,
          "home": 0.672754643877156,
          "over25": 0.6848743718693233,
          "under25": 0.3151256281306767
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.14330703,
          "draw": 0.14438647,
          "home": 0.7123065,
          "over25": 0.83307501,
          "under25": 0.16692499
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.09815602209888408,
          "draw": 0.16940158315998988,
          "home": 0.732442394741126,
          "over25": 0.6850574712643679,
          "under25": 0.3149425287356321
        }
      },
      "home": "Dortmund",
      "id": "replay-dfee5fd044db9896",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-09T18:30:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 8.15,
        "draw": 5.57,
        "home": 1.32,
        "over25": 1.37,
        "under25": 2.98
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Lyon",
      "competition": "Ligue 1",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.41629940303532237,
          "draw": 0.24860402985742241,
          "home": 0.3350965671072552,
          "over25": 0.6588225937519067,
          "under25": 0.34117740624809334
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.3444897270793959,
          "draw": 0.26209091419373903,
          "home": 0.3934193587268651,
          "over25": 0.6195224346557234,
          "under25": 0.38047756534427657
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.35543648018546636,
          "draw": 0.2533574312091109,
          "home": 0.3912060886054227,
          "over25": 0.6001068470598783,
          "under25": 0.39989315294012173
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.3537031340734635,
          "draw": 0.2587067780139806,
          "home": 0.3875900879125559,
          "over25": 0.6078162503051904,
          "under25": 0.3921837496948096
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.37391795101519093,
          "draw": 0.24786288809329088,
          "home": 0.3782191608915182,
          "over25": 0.6331143916155447,
          "under25": 0.3668856083844553
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.34865686852120187,
          "draw": 0.25580802853457746,
          "home": 0.3955351029442206,
          "over25": 0.6196473551637279,
          "under25": 0.380352644836272
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.3540431394306013,
          "draw": 0.24476628225920194,
          "home": 0.4011905783101968,
          "over25": 0.6122277435627602,
          "under25": 0.3877722564372398
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.32164133,
          "draw": 0.24903337,
          "home": 0.4293253,
          "over25": 0.53863722,
          "under25": 0.46136278
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.3748473447116782,
          "draw": 0.25580802853457746,
          "home": 0.3693446267537444,
          "over25": 0.6196473551637279,
          "under25": 0.38035264483627207
        }
      },
      "home": "Lens",
      "id": "replay-592fe26af12c6472",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-09T18:45:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.7,
        "draw": 3.68,
        "home": 2.38,
        "over25": 1.51,
        "under25": 2.46
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "QPR",
      "competition": "Championship",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.1265441932413905,
          "draw": 0.1843158710876121,
          "home": 0.6891399356709974,
          "over25": 0.6644194641074577,
          "under25": 0.33558053589254233
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.1455870562098824,
          "draw": 0.20394259453157795,
          "home": 0.6504703492585396,
          "over25": 0.6195926607242915,
          "under25": 0.38040733927570847
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.1685319418686584,
          "draw": 0.20112130828466887,
          "home": 0.6303467498466727,
          "over25": 0.6316669889438955,
          "under25": 0.3683330110561045
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.15316194857262305,
          "draw": 0.20407910364032572,
          "home": 0.6427589477870512,
          "over25": 0.6119371526296173,
          "under25": 0.38806284737038266
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.15398481798650715,
          "draw": 0.2003568887523523,
          "home": 0.6456582932611405,
          "over25": 0.6222210151027304,
          "under25": 0.3777789848972696
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.15191607677739125,
          "draw": 0.20060712702655512,
          "home": 0.6474767961960537,
          "over25": 0.6196473551637279,
          "under25": 0.380352644836272
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.18125896337390107,
          "draw": 0.20541726344807737,
          "home": 0.6133237731780216,
          "over25": 0.5879960846047576,
          "under25": 0.4120039153952424
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.32555475,
          "draw": 0.25528391,
          "home": 0.41916134,
          "over25": 0.5123687,
          "under25": 0.4876313
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.12572560058691498,
          "draw": 0.20060712702655512,
          "home": 0.6736672723865299,
          "over25": 0.6196473551637279,
          "under25": 0.38035264483627207
        }
      },
      "home": "West Ham",
      "id": "replay-d73569d853bb8569",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-09T19:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 6.18,
        "draw": 4.68,
        "home": 1.45,
        "over25": 1.51,
        "under25": 2.46
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Espanol",
      "competition": "La Liga",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.3761234592457446,
          "draw": 0.29516377642487096,
          "home": 0.32871276432938445,
          "over25": 0.46062336710028956,
          "under25": 0.5393766328997105
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.3753468244018258,
          "draw": 0.28741878208042476,
          "home": 0.3372343935177494,
          "over25": 0.46807648670415397,
          "under25": 0.531923513295846
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.32754599807034745,
          "draw": 0.27765523390586044,
          "home": 0.3947987680237921,
          "over25": 0.4922118513999918,
          "under25": 0.5077881486000082
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.36635366055361984,
          "draw": 0.2992449389462123,
          "home": 0.3344014005001679,
          "over25": 0.4622846862198219,
          "under25": 0.5377153137801781
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.38084316297855064,
          "draw": 0.2931018711410119,
          "home": 0.3260549658804374,
          "over25": 0.461948368536182,
          "under25": 0.538051631463818
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.36683338414508543,
          "draw": 0.2964659739788898,
          "home": 0.33670064187602483,
          "over25": 0.4680851063829787,
          "under25": 0.5319148936170213
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.35736856741888756,
          "draw": 0.28270845214894424,
          "home": 0.3599229804321682,
          "over25": 0.45851147091846894,
          "under25": 0.541488529081531
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.26921883,
          "draw": 0.30955847,
          "home": 0.4212227,
          "over25": 0.30735866,
          "under25": 0.69264134
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.36683338414508543,
          "draw": 0.2964659739788898,
          "home": 0.33670064187602483,
          "over25": 0.4680851063829787,
          "under25": 0.5319148936170213
        }
      },
      "home": "Malaga",
      "id": "replay-65a1a99a0177daa6",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-09T19:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.57,
        "draw": 3.18,
        "home": 2.8,
        "over25": 2.0,
        "under25": 1.76
      },
      "score": null
    }
  ],
  "id": "daily-2026-10-09",
  "kickoff_window": "Next 24 hours",
  "label": "Daily slate \u00b7 9 October",
  "lock_at": "2026-10-09T18:30:00Z",
  "note": "Tips and stakes were published before the first kickoff and are now sealed for settlement.",
  "policy": {
    "bet_policy": {
      "evidence_status": "required-paper-picks-not-a-positive-value-claim",
      "flat_stake_units": 1.0,
      "longshot_decimal_odds": 5.0,
      "longshot_flat_stake_units": 5.0,
      "market_similarity_is_failure": false,
      "maximum_bets_per_fixture": 1,
      "maximum_bets_per_round": 3,
      "maximum_decimal_odds": 3.0,
      "maximum_longshot_bets": 1,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_fraction": 0.005,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_units": 5.0,
      "maximum_market_probability_gap": 0.15,
      "maximum_round_stake_fraction": 0.05,
      "maximum_round_stake_units": 3.0,
      "maximum_single_stake_fraction": 0.01,
      "maximum_total_open_exposure_fraction": 0.15,
      "minimum_point_ev": -1.0,
      "selection_mode": "required-ranked-paper",
      "stake_assignment": "commissioner-flat-capped",
      "starting_bankroll_units": 1000.0,
      "unsupported_without_evidence_decimal_odds": 8.0
    },
    "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "rubric_sha256": "7ef0538587aff0e3fee1741d26f53b9190b864412103d833aa4abcaf19ae761e",
    "rubric_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "validator_version": "2"
  },
  "published_at": "2026-10-09T10:02:22.170568Z",
  "snapshot_id": "sha256:63b8f9773a504aa2ef4e1e5efc73463c0135e56862cbeb91f056d1a53ed312c1",
  "status": "sealed",
  "submission_meta": {
    "claude": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-09T10:02:04.568791Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 2,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 9,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 20,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T10:02:14.219704Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "codex": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-09T10:02:04.568791Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 1,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 10,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 20,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T10:02:14.220274Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "gemini": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-09T10:02:04.568791Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 1,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 10,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 20,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T10:02:15.893571Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "glm-flash": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-09T10:02:04.568791Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 1,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 10,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 20,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T10:02:14.221973Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "kimi": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-09T10:02:04.568791Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 2,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 9,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 20,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T10:02:14.221218Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "mimo": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-09T10:02:04.568791Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 11,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 20,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T10:02:22.168341Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "qwen": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-09T10:02:04.568791Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 11,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 20,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-09T10:02:14.212894Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    }
  }
}
