{
  "available_bankrolls": {
    "claude": 972.99,
    "codex": 975.88,
    "gemini": 987.5441,
    "glm-flash": 980.86,
    "kimi": 978.98,
    "mimo": 977.73,
    "qwen": 972.7
  },
  "bets": [
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-162805b3c5680d76",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.05997524,
      "odds": 1.57,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.675, model EV=+6.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-dfef7ebf4386e415",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.02308684,
      "odds": 1.78,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.575, model EV=+2.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-f390dba644957346",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01183499,
      "odds": 2.64,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.374, model EV=-1.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-98f0e87d5c3aac1b",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.0415628,
      "odds": 1.91,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.502, model EV=-4.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-162805b3c5680d76",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04526298,
      "odds": 1.57,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.608, model EV=-4.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-f390dba644957346",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04791064,
      "odds": 2.64,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.361, model EV=-4.8%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e557292e6c6566b0",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.08683325,
      "odds": 2.87,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.379, model EV=+8.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-f390dba644957346",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.03615553,
      "odds": 2.64,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.392, model EV=+3.6%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-98f0e87d5c3aac1b",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.0032582,
      "odds": 1.71,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.587, model EV=+0.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-dfef7ebf4386e415",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01075605,
      "odds": 1.78,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.556, model EV=-1.1%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e557292e6c6566b0",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03018626,
      "odds": 2.13,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.455, model EV=-3.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-98f0e87d5c3aac1b",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03040301,
      "odds": 1.71,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.567, model EV=-3.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-98f0e87d5c3aac1b",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04724465,
      "odds": 1.71,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.557, model EV=-4.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-dfef7ebf4386e415",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04842698,
      "odds": 1.78,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.535, model EV=-4.8%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e557292e6c6566b0",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05233634,
      "odds": 2.13,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.445, model EV=-5.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-f390dba644957346",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.00360099,
      "odds": 2.59,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.385, model EV=-0.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-162805b3c5680d76",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03317938,
      "odds": 1.84,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.525, model EV=-3.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e557292e6c6566b0",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.0366098,
      "odds": 2.13,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.452, model EV=-3.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-162805b3c5680d76",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01232952,
      "odds": 1.57,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.629, model EV=-1.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e557292e6c6566b0",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04962439,
      "odds": 2.87,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.331, model EV=-5.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-f390dba644957346",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05239908,
      "odds": 2.64,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.359, model EV=-5.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    }
  ],
  "fingerprint": "sha256:d48ac3a56a9afbfb01be0a213ede38e6a7142f5bbe52d50314a916efbe676678",
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "away": "Nott'm Forest",
      "competition": "Premier League",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.3743049291362719,
          "draw": 0.27979406998914,
          "home": 0.3459010008745881,
          "over25": 0.5000904857816775,
          "under25": 0.4999095142183225
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.3606399091975447,
          "draw": 0.2778249788505383,
          "home": 0.36153511195191695,
          "over25": 0.5012507878819236,
          "under25": 0.49874921211807643
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.3924831539959765,
          "draw": 0.27122842514225903,
          "home": 0.3362884208617645,
          "over25": 0.5090920875335478,
          "under25": 0.49090791246645216
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.35605151585615297,
          "draw": 0.2830231912442434,
          "home": 0.36092529289960357,
          "over25": 0.49844425065703524,
          "under25": 0.5015557493429648
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.365542864211947,
          "draw": 0.2803592190892043,
          "home": 0.3540979166988487,
          "over25": 0.49489120214383797,
          "under25": 0.505108797856162
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.3556064073226544,
          "draw": 0.2819221967963386,
          "home": 0.36247139588100685,
          "over25": 0.5013404825737265,
          "under25": 0.49865951742627346
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.34685051283434426,
          "draw": 0.26843944409670145,
          "home": 0.3847100430689543,
          "over25": 0.4974117139775813,
          "under25": 0.5025882860224187
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.38618044,
          "draw": 0.27407372,
          "home": 0.33974585,
          "over25": 0.43861694,
          "under25": 0.56138306
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.35893974065598777,
          "draw": 0.2819221967963387,
          "home": 0.35913806254767355,
          "over25": 0.5013404825737265,
          "under25": 0.49865951742627346
        }
      },
      "home": "Crystal Palace",
      "id": "replay-f390dba644957346",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.64,
        "draw": 3.33,
        "home": 2.59,
        "over25": 1.86,
        "under25": 1.87
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Everton",
      "competition": "Premier League",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.4439461501544544,
          "draw": 0.27702100554259557,
          "home": 0.27903284430295006,
          "over25": 0.4252321148808868,
          "under25": 0.5747678851191131
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.4642646196211503,
          "draw": 0.2766614049071672,
          "home": 0.25907397547168254,
          "over25": 0.47537194245084247,
          "under25": 0.5246280575491575
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.4036802385413064,
          "draw": 0.2719085019689641,
          "home": 0.32441125948972954,
          "over25": 0.4721154820409597,
          "under25": 0.5278845179590403
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.45095278710315173,
          "draw": 0.2835642796481232,
          "home": 0.2654829332487251,
          "over25": 0.4654084170690061,
          "under25": 0.534591582930994
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.4546939877817511,
          "draw": 0.282064620568764,
          "home": 0.2632413916494849,
          "over25": 0.4442449732165161,
          "under25": 0.5557550267834839
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.46086508753862,
          "draw": 0.276519052523172,
          "home": 0.262615859938208,
          "over25": 0.47593582887700536,
          "under25": 0.5240641711229947
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.4236700530267733,
          "draw": 0.2635905159086428,
          "home": 0.3127394310645839,
          "over25": 0.4811004975640382,
          "under25": 0.5188995024359617
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.28580088,
          "draw": 0.28199198,
          "home": 0.43220714,
          "over25": 0.39555924,
          "under25": 0.60444076
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.45276984944338183,
          "draw": 0.276519052523172,
          "home": 0.2707110980334461,
          "over25": 0.47593582887700536,
          "under25": 0.5240641711229946
        }
      },
      "home": "Hull",
      "id": "replay-dfef7ebf4386e415",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.04,
        "draw": 3.4,
        "home": 3.58,
        "over25": 1.96,
        "under25": 1.78
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Strasbourg",
      "competition": "Ligue 1",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.33600621619721377,
          "draw": 0.2630303385731582,
          "home": 0.40096344522962807,
          "over25": 0.5669221225322884,
          "under25": 0.43307787746771165
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.33104862286403797,
          "draw": 0.26330034551786013,
          "home": 0.4056510316181019,
          "over25": 0.5617095224366155,
          "under25": 0.43829047756338446
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.3786875425942932,
          "draw": 0.2529320660902386,
          "home": 0.36838039131546824,
          "over25": 0.5753821204130154,
          "under25": 0.4246178795869846
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.3263035264173821,
          "draw": 0.26685400836480994,
          "home": 0.4068424652178079,
          "over25": 0.5550874852956064,
          "under25": 0.44491251470439364
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.33742098602921305,
          "draw": 0.2636015306275434,
          "home": 0.3989774833432436,
          "over25": 0.544688383925894,
          "under25": 0.455311616074106
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.32685561244331823,
          "draw": 0.2635043841888549,
          "home": 0.40964000336782685,
          "over25": 0.5620052770448549,
          "under25": 0.4379947229551451
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.33368343817514345,
          "draw": 0.2541767282555639,
          "home": 0.4121398335692926,
          "over25": 0.5477041329019138,
          "under25": 0.4522958670980862
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.30116959,
          "draw": 0.25053021,
          "home": 0.4483002,
          "over25": 0.52359768,
          "under25": 0.47640232
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.3311413267290325,
          "draw": 0.2635043841888549,
          "home": 0.4053542890821126,
          "over25": 0.5620052770448549,
          "under25": 0.4379947229551451
        }
      },
      "home": "Nice",
      "id": "replay-e557292e6c6566b0",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.87,
        "draw": 3.56,
        "home": 2.29,
        "over25": 1.66,
        "under25": 2.13
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Monza",
      "competition": "Serie A",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.12046996567692822,
          "draw": 0.20438656633414878,
          "home": 0.675143467988923,
          "over25": 0.5379489574857191,
          "under25": 0.46205104251428086
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.15940820016318047,
          "draw": 0.2324790502888826,
          "home": 0.6081127495479369,
          "over25": 0.5082721863307126,
          "under25": 0.4917278136692874
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.19945927246063533,
          "draw": 0.2490609826310659,
          "home": 0.5514797449082988,
          "over25": 0.47562617146373437,
          "under25": 0.5243738285362656
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.16569989209863725,
          "draw": 0.23724194535112694,
          "home": 0.5970581625502358,
          "over25": 0.5051600978619867,
          "under25": 0.4948399021380133
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.1631011788492776,
          "draw": 0.2325804987703261,
          "home": 0.6043183223803963,
          "over25": 0.5188766971712943,
          "under25": 0.48112330282870575
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.16591435308112243,
          "draw": 0.23594855237164644,
          "home": 0.5981370945472311,
          "over25": 0.5080213903743315,
          "under25": 0.4919786096256684
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.19779652129760766,
          "draw": 0.2288036118619337,
          "home": 0.5733998668404586,
          "over25": 0.525445990126885,
          "under25": 0.474554009873115
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.23080357,
          "draw": 0.24379182,
          "home": 0.52540462,
          "over25": 0.50102398,
          "under25": 0.49897602
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.13496197212874153,
          "draw": 0.23594855237164644,
          "home": 0.629089475499612,
          "over25": 0.5080213903743316,
          "under25": 0.4919786096256684
        }
      },
      "home": "Lazio",
      "id": "replay-162805b3c5680d76",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 5.66,
        "draw": 3.98,
        "home": 1.57,
        "over25": 1.84,
        "under25": 1.9
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Bologna",
      "competition": "Serie A",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.44923551963406777,
          "draw": 0.28336021849331666,
          "home": 0.2674042618726156,
          "over25": 0.43264805440592824,
          "under25": 0.5673519455940718
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.5017995791379457,
          "draw": 0.27503555933239565,
          "home": 0.22316486152965867,
          "over25": 0.4522981280553879,
          "under25": 0.5477018719446121
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.47979337793197546,
          "draw": 0.2865387031421109,
          "home": 0.2336679189259137,
          "over25": 0.41329929808158,
          "under25": 0.58670070191842
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.480191555554147,
          "draw": 0.28660114434111456,
          "home": 0.23320730010473842,
          "over25": 0.44283312992725415,
          "under25": 0.5571668700727459
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.4809717145863074,
          "draw": 0.2832201807032272,
          "home": 0.23580810471046537,
          "over25": 0.43298421692859307,
          "under25": 0.5670157830714069
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.4907469789710583,
          "draw": 0.28063674545949746,
          "home": 0.22861627556944425,
          "over25": 0.4523809523809524,
          "under25": 0.5476190476190476
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.4465648441991161,
          "draw": 0.268301999752316,
          "home": 0.2851331560485679,
          "over25": 0.4560836554709896,
          "under25": 0.5439163445290104
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.41145552,
          "draw": 0.25185208,
          "home": 0.33669241,
          "over25": 0.53044826,
          "under25": 0.46955174
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.49074697897105823,
          "draw": 0.28063674545949746,
          "home": 0.22861627556944425,
          "over25": 0.4523809523809524,
          "under25": 0.5476190476190477
        }
      },
      "home": "Lecce",
      "id": "replay-98f0e87d5c3aac1b",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 1.91,
        "draw": 3.34,
        "home": 4.1,
        "over25": 2.07,
        "under25": 1.71
      },
      "score": null
    }
  ],
  "id": "daily-2026-10-10-r3",
  "kickoff_window": "Next 24 hours",
  "label": "Daily slate \u00b7 11 October",
  "lock_at": "2026-10-11T13:00:00Z",
  "note": "Tips and stakes were published before the first kickoff and are now sealed for settlement.",
  "policy": {
    "bet_policy": {
      "evidence_status": "required-paper-picks-not-a-positive-value-claim",
      "flat_stake_units": 1.0,
      "longshot_decimal_odds": 5.0,
      "longshot_flat_stake_units": 5.0,
      "market_similarity_is_failure": false,
      "maximum_bets_per_fixture": 1,
      "maximum_bets_per_round": 3,
      "maximum_decimal_odds": 3.0,
      "maximum_longshot_bets": 1,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_fraction": 0.005,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_units": 5.0,
      "maximum_market_probability_gap": 0.15,
      "maximum_round_stake_fraction": 0.05,
      "maximum_round_stake_units": 3.0,
      "maximum_single_stake_fraction": 0.01,
      "maximum_total_open_exposure_fraction": 0.15,
      "minimum_point_ev": -1.0,
      "selection_mode": "required-ranked-paper",
      "stake_assignment": "commissioner-flat-capped",
      "starting_bankroll_units": 1000.0,
      "unsupported_without_evidence_decimal_odds": 8.0
    },
    "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "rubric_sha256": "7ef0538587aff0e3fee1741d26f53b9190b864412103d833aa4abcaf19ae761e",
    "rubric_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "validator_version": "2"
  },
  "published_at": "2026-10-10T13:05:28.947934Z",
  "snapshot_id": "sha256:c02b0efbb41e86d66b6bbae2d489876a8ead5f8e8ab8de5f37a825c3b117cb58",
  "status": "sealed",
  "submission_meta": {
    "claude": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-10T13:05:10.483047Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 1,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 8,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 13
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 25,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-10T13:05:21.019688Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "codex": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-10T13:05:10.483047Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 8,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 14
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 25,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-10T13:05:21.026148Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "gemini": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-10T13:05:10.483047Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "bet 0 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet 2 outside-paper-price-band"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 8,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 14
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 25,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-10T13:05:22.715811Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "glm-flash": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-10T13:05:10.483047Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 8,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 14
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 25,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-10T13:05:21.017098Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "kimi": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-10T13:05:10.483047Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 8,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 14
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 25,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-10T13:05:21.018763Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "mimo": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-10T13:05:10.483047Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 8,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 14
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 25,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-10T13:05:28.945353Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "qwen": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-10T13:05:10.483047Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 8,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 14
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 25,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-10T13:05:21.015674Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    }
  }
}