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"note": "Tips and stakes were published before the first kickoff and are now sealed for settlement.", "policy": { "bet_policy": { "evidence_status": "required-paper-picks-not-a-positive-value-claim", "flat_stake_units": 1.0, "longshot_decimal_odds": 5.0, "longshot_flat_stake_units": 5.0, "market_similarity_is_failure": false, "maximum_bets_per_fixture": 1, "maximum_bets_per_round": 3, "maximum_decimal_odds": 3.0, "maximum_longshot_bets": 1, "maximum_longshot_stake_fraction": 0.005, "maximum_longshot_stake_units": 5.0, "maximum_market_probability_gap": 0.15, "maximum_round_stake_fraction": 0.05, "maximum_round_stake_units": 3.0, "maximum_single_stake_fraction": 0.01, "maximum_total_open_exposure_fraction": 0.15, "minimum_point_ev": -1.0, "selection_mode": "required-ranked-paper", "stake_assignment": "commissioner-flat-capped", "starting_bankroll_units": 1000.0, "unsupported_without_evidence_decimal_odds": 8.0 }, "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3", "rubric_sha256": "7ef0538587aff0e3fee1741d26f53b9190b864412103d833aa4abcaf19ae761e", "rubric_version": "ranked-paper-v3", "validator_version": "2" }, "published_at": "2026-10-16T14:05:29.881680Z", "snapshot_id": "sha256:7fd02519374d129aa8bf613e94afe0f71d87e0067300fa83009a0ae002dc5509", "status": "sealed", "submission_meta": { "claude": { "decision_time": "2026-10-16T14:05:09.875088Z", "execution_provenance": { "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract", "adapter": { "exit_code": 0, "status": "invalid", "timed_out": false, "valid": false, "validation_errors": [ "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes" ], "validation_status": "failed" }, "bet_policy_adjustment": { "adapter_requested_bets": 0, "adjusted": true, "applied": true, "dropped_by_reason": { "outside-paper-price-band": 59, "round-bet-count-cap": 111, "unsupported-extreme-price": 2 }, "longshot_bets": 0, "official_bets": 3, "official_stake": 3.0, "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3", "requested_bets": 175, "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "commissioner_fallback": { "bets_preserved": false, "status": "accepted", "validation_status": "live" } }, "generated_at": "2026-10-16T14:05:21.586431Z", "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.", "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "codex": { "decision_time": "2026-10-16T14:05:09.875088Z", "execution_provenance": { "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract", "adapter": { "exit_code": 0, "status": "invalid", "timed_out": false, "valid": false, "validation_errors": [ "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes" ], "validation_status": "failed" }, "bet_policy_adjustment": { "adapter_requested_bets": 0, "adjusted": true, "applied": true, "dropped_by_reason": { "outside-paper-price-band": 59, "round-bet-count-cap": 111, "unsupported-extreme-price": 2 }, "longshot_bets": 0, "official_bets": 3, "official_stake": 3.0, "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3", "requested_bets": 175, "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "commissioner_fallback": { "bets_preserved": false, "status": "accepted", "validation_status": "live" } }, "generated_at": "2026-10-16T14:05:21.576884Z", "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.", "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "gemini": { "decision_time": "2026-10-16T14:05:09.875088Z", "execution_provenance": { "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract", "adapter": { "exit_code": 0, "status": "invalid", "timed_out": false, "valid": false, "validation_errors": [ "bet 2 outside-paper-price-band" ], "validation_status": "failed" }, "bet_policy_adjustment": { "adapter_requested_bets": 0, "adjusted": true, "applied": true, "dropped_by_reason": { "outside-paper-price-band": 59, "round-bet-count-cap": 111, "unsupported-extreme-price": 2 }, "longshot_bets": 0, "official_bets": 3, "official_stake": 3.0, "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3", "requested_bets": 175, "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "commissioner_fallback": { "bets_preserved": false, "status": "accepted", "validation_status": "live" } }, "generated_at": "2026-10-16T14:05:23.340003Z", "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.", "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "glm-flash": { "decision_time": "2026-10-16T14:05:09.875088Z", "execution_provenance": { "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract", "adapter": { "exit_code": 0, "status": "invalid", "timed_out": false, "valid": false, "validation_errors": [ "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes" ], "validation_status": "failed" }, "bet_policy_adjustment": { "adapter_requested_bets": 0, "adjusted": true, "applied": true, "dropped_by_reason": { "outside-paper-price-band": 59, "round-bet-count-cap": 111, "unsupported-extreme-price": 2 }, "longshot_bets": 0, "official_bets": 3, "official_stake": 3.0, "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3", "requested_bets": 175, "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "commissioner_fallback": { "bets_preserved": false, "status": "accepted", "validation_status": "live" } }, "generated_at": "2026-10-16T14:05:21.574029Z", "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.", "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "kimi": { "decision_time": "2026-10-16T14:05:09.875088Z", "execution_provenance": { "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract", "adapter": { "exit_code": 0, "status": "invalid", "timed_out": false, "valid": false, "validation_errors": [ "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes" ], "validation_status": "failed" }, "bet_policy_adjustment": { "adapter_requested_bets": 0, "adjusted": true, "applied": true, "dropped_by_reason": { "outside-paper-price-band": 59, "round-bet-count-cap": 111, "unsupported-extreme-price": 2 }, "longshot_bets": 0, "official_bets": 3, "official_stake": 3.0, "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3", "requested_bets": 175, "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "commissioner_fallback": { "bets_preserved": false, "status": "accepted", "validation_status": "live" } }, "generated_at": "2026-10-16T14:05:21.580224Z", "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.", "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "mimo": { "decision_time": "2026-10-16T14:05:09.875088Z", "execution_provenance": { "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract", "adapter": { "exit_code": 0, "status": "invalid", "timed_out": false, "valid": false, "validation_errors": [ "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes" ], "validation_status": "failed" }, "bet_policy_adjustment": { "adapter_requested_bets": 0, "adjusted": true, "applied": true, "dropped_by_reason": { "outside-paper-price-band": 59, "round-bet-count-cap": 111, "unsupported-extreme-price": 2 }, "longshot_bets": 0, "official_bets": 3, "official_stake": 3.0, "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3", "requested_bets": 175, "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "commissioner_fallback": { "bets_preserved": false, "status": "accepted", "validation_status": "live" } }, "generated_at": "2026-10-16T14:05:29.876489Z", "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.", "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "qwen": { "decision_time": "2026-10-16T14:05:09.875088Z", "execution_provenance": { "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract", "adapter": { "exit_code": 0, "status": "invalid", "timed_out": false, "valid": false, "validation_errors": [ "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes" ], "validation_status": "failed" }, "bet_policy_adjustment": { "adapter_requested_bets": 0, "adjusted": true, "applied": true, "dropped_by_reason": { "outside-paper-price-band": 59, "round-bet-count-cap": 111, "unsupported-extreme-price": 2 }, "longshot_bets": 0, "official_bets": 3, "official_stake": 3.0, "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3", "requested_bets": 175, "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" }, "commissioner_fallback": { "bets_preserved": false, "status": "accepted", "validation_status": "live" } }, "generated_at": "2026-10-16T14:05:21.579909Z", "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.", "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper" } } }