{
  "available_bankrolls": {
    "claude": 978.93,
    "codex": 980.74,
    "gemini": 1001.6041,
    "glm-flash": 969.27,
    "kimi": 979.43,
    "mimo": 970.03,
    "qwen": 980.06
  },
  "bets": [
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1f2177f1cf891b74",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01222557,
      "odds": 2.19,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.451, model EV=-1.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-ada07121eaa5ed63",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02269521,
      "odds": 1.4,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.698, model EV=-2.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-9b9531febc679bfe",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04269409,
      "odds": 1.83,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.523, model EV=-4.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-9b9531febc679bfe",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04226551,
      "odds": 1.66,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.577, model EV=-4.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1f2177f1cf891b74",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05983812,
      "odds": 1.66,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.566, model EV=-6.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-ada07121eaa5ed63",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.06496474,
      "odds": 1.23,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.760, model EV=-6.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1f2177f1cf891b74",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.01173447,
      "odds": 1.66,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.609, model EV=+1.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-9b9531febc679bfe",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.00968729,
      "odds": 1.83,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.552, model EV=+1.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-ada07121eaa5ed63",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03855478,
      "odds": 1.4,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.687, model EV=-3.9%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1f2177f1cf891b74",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01456071,
      "odds": 2.19,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.450, model EV=-1.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-9b9531febc679bfe",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04024327,
      "odds": 1.83,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.524, model EV=-4.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-ada07121eaa5ed63",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05881612,
      "odds": 1.4,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.672, model EV=-5.9%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-ada07121eaa5ed63",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04743279,
      "odds": 2.8,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.340, model EV=-4.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-9b9531febc679bfe",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05378957,
      "odds": 1.83,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.517, model EV=-5.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1f2177f1cf891b74",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05502996,
      "odds": 2.19,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.431, model EV=-5.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-9b9531febc679bfe",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.00714118,
      "odds": 1.9,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.523, model EV=-0.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-ada07121eaa5ed63",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04856107,
      "odds": 2.8,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.340, model EV=-4.9%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1f2177f1cf891b74",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.06656878,
      "odds": 2.19,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.426, model EV=-6.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1f2177f1cf891b74",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02005643,
      "odds": 1.66,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.590, model EV=-2.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-ada07121eaa5ed63",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02522412,
      "odds": 1.23,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.793, model EV=-2.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-9b9531febc679bfe",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.06782842,
      "odds": 1.9,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.491, model EV=-6.8%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    }
  ],
  "fingerprint": "sha256:e13725b2ccfefedf8cc8411c3b477b43118348ce31703bab3a9f5adcb1e089a9",
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "away": "Nice",
      "competition": "Ligue 1",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.18298863184157493,
          "draw": 0.22577131520347332,
          "home": 0.5912400529549517,
          "over25": 0.5489614465522032,
          "under25": 0.45103855344779675
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.19891262038639124,
          "draw": 0.23472479948181812,
          "home": 0.5663625801317906,
          "over25": 0.5740840057003614,
          "under25": 0.42591599429963856
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.1729985421882211,
          "draw": 0.2175228606853221,
          "home": 0.6094785971264568,
          "over25": 0.5718480567859466,
          "under25": 0.42815194321405337
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.20020588756080238,
          "draw": 0.23753421712994538,
          "home": 0.5622598953092522,
          "over25": 0.5685068290921025,
          "under25": 0.4314931709078975
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.1976839796292998,
          "draw": 0.23582538247918433,
          "home": 0.5664906378915159,
          "over25": 0.550027720400725,
          "under25": 0.449972279599275
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.20191931540342295,
          "draw": 0.23489608801955986,
          "home": 0.5631845965770171,
          "over25": 0.5748031496062992,
          "under25": 0.4251968503937008
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.21821341746086834,
          "draw": 0.22729790268266467,
          "home": 0.554488679856467,
          "over25": 0.5737756995032013,
          "under25": 0.4262243004967987
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.27288203,
          "draw": 0.24639967,
          "home": 0.4807183,
          "over25": 0.52508184,
          "under25": 0.47491816
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.17477645826056587,
          "draw": 0.23489608801955986,
          "home": 0.5903274537198743,
          "over25": 0.5748031496062992,
          "under25": 0.4251968503937008
        }
      },
      "home": "Lyon",
      "id": "replay-1f2177f1cf891b74",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T18:45:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 4.63,
        "draw": 3.98,
        "home": 1.66,
        "over25": 1.62,
        "under25": 2.19
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Lazio",
      "competition": "Serie A",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.2209322773450365,
          "draw": 0.2551364293198757,
          "home": 0.5239312933350878,
          "over25": 0.4768820149572343,
          "under25": 0.5231179850427656
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.18034982196577307,
          "draw": 0.24270169254834087,
          "home": 0.5769484854858861,
          "over25": 0.4904283600508426,
          "under25": 0.5095716399491574
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.19311763445009672,
          "draw": 0.25912676314996647,
          "home": 0.5477556023999368,
          "over25": 0.44825831252670373,
          "under25": 0.5517416874732963
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.1894847682234017,
          "draw": 0.25445450118175256,
          "home": 0.5560607305948457,
          "over25": 0.4829451190207215,
          "under25": 0.5170548809792785
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.20299756175793376,
          "draw": 0.2508712524184917,
          "home": 0.5461311858235746,
          "over25": 0.47554277031667186,
          "under25": 0.5244572296833281
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.1862930617653906,
          "draw": 0.2492165161382752,
          "home": 0.5644904220963343,
          "over25": 0.49061662198391415,
          "under25": 0.5093833780160857
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.22515112742346485,
          "draw": 0.23833647876768208,
          "home": 0.5365123938088531,
          "over25": 0.5225572740715027,
          "under25": 0.47744272592849735
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.23413215,
          "draw": 0.25991866,
          "home": 0.50594919,
          "over25": 0.44190137,
          "under25": 0.55809863
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.19962639509872385,
          "draw": 0.2492165161382752,
          "home": 0.551157088763001,
          "over25": 0.49061662198391426,
          "under25": 0.5093833780160857
        }
      },
      "home": "Juventus",
      "id": "replay-9b9531febc679bfe",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T18:45:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 5.03,
        "draw": 3.76,
        "home": 1.66,
        "over25": 1.9,
        "under25": 1.83
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Sevilla",
      "competition": "La Liga",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.07761905219240778,
          "draw": 0.13697418927518473,
          "home": 0.7854067585324075,
          "over25": 0.6980748470626015,
          "under25": 0.3019251529373985
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.08684296546938228,
          "draw": 0.15296576251573027,
          "home": 0.7601912720148875,
          "over25": 0.6662679109422612,
          "under25": 0.33373208905773877
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.08950117564704096,
          "draw": 0.1434006835674727,
          "home": 0.7670981407854863,
          "over25": 0.6867465843188311,
          "under25": 0.31325341568116893
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.09209393464269958,
          "draw": 0.1522458267308727,
          "home": 0.7556602386264277,
          "over25": 0.6597974264962053,
          "under25": 0.3402025735037947
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.09450747557718248,
          "draw": 0.15011096190172263,
          "home": 0.7553815625210949,
          "over25": 0.6722742034909049,
          "under25": 0.32772579650909506
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.09133544378004455,
          "draw": 0.1490209872200727,
          "home": 0.7596435689998827,
          "over25": 0.6666666666666667,
          "under25": 0.33333333333333337
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.12504014950043693,
          "draw": 0.1577549197964935,
          "home": 0.7172049307030696,
          "over25": 0.6602003837044986,
          "under25": 0.33979961629550137
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.12963748,
          "draw": 0.20008495,
          "home": 0.67027758,
          "over25": 0.52567822,
          "under25": 0.47432178
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.058478300922901655,
          "draw": 0.1490209872200727,
          "home": 0.7925007118570256,
          "over25": 0.6666666666666667,
          "under25": 0.33333333333333326
        }
      },
      "home": "Real Madrid",
      "id": "replay-ada07121eaa5ed63",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T19:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 10.23,
        "draw": 6.27,
        "home": 1.23,
        "over25": 1.4,
        "under25": 2.8
      },
      "score": null
    }
  ],
  "id": "daily-2026-10-17-r8",
  "kickoff_window": "Next 24 hours",
  "label": "Daily slate \u00b7 18 October",
  "lock_at": "2026-10-18T18:45:00Z",
  "note": "Tips and stakes were published before the first kickoff and are now sealed for settlement.",
  "policy": {
    "bet_policy": {
      "evidence_status": "required-paper-picks-not-a-positive-value-claim",
      "flat_stake_units": 1.0,
      "longshot_decimal_odds": 5.0,
      "longshot_flat_stake_units": 5.0,
      "market_similarity_is_failure": false,
      "maximum_bets_per_fixture": 1,
      "maximum_bets_per_round": 3,
      "maximum_decimal_odds": 3.0,
      "maximum_longshot_bets": 1,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_fraction": 0.005,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_units": 5.0,
      "maximum_market_probability_gap": 0.15,
      "maximum_round_stake_fraction": 0.05,
      "maximum_round_stake_units": 3.0,
      "maximum_single_stake_fraction": 0.01,
      "maximum_total_open_exposure_fraction": 0.15,
      "minimum_point_ev": -1.0,
      "selection_mode": "required-ranked-paper",
      "stake_assignment": "commissioner-flat-capped",
      "starting_bankroll_units": 1000.0,
      "unsupported_without_evidence_decimal_odds": 8.0
    },
    "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "rubric_sha256": "7ef0538587aff0e3fee1741d26f53b9190b864412103d833aa4abcaf19ae761e",
    "rubric_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "validator_version": "2"
  },
  "published_at": "2026-10-17T19:05:47.815887Z",
  "snapshot_id": "sha256:5c359afcd1650c41944b8691b9947d57deb8d8932e91d923fa1a189bd745760d",
  "status": "sealed",
  "submission_meta": {
    "claude": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-17T19:05:10.828333Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 2,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 4,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-17T19:05:39.063846Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "codex": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-17T19:05:10.828333Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 6,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-17T19:05:39.060303Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "gemini": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-17T19:05:10.828333Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 6,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-17T19:05:40.985606Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "glm-flash": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-17T19:05:10.828333Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 6,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-17T19:05:39.066027Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "kimi": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-17T19:05:10.828333Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 6,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-17T19:05:39.068463Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "mimo": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-17T19:05:10.828333Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 6,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-17T19:05:47.813407Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "qwen": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-17T19:05:10.828333Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 2,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 5,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 4,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-17T19:05:39.064394Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    }
  }
}
