{
  "available_bankrolls": {
    "claude": 992.79,
    "codex": 996.16,
    "gemini": 1018.9741,
    "glm-flash": 979.85,
    "kimi": 995.8,
    "mimo": 963.19,
    "qwen": 990.67
  },
  "bets": [
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-c7a9710e1be31769",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.07425201,
      "odds": 1.44,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.746, model EV=+7.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-47186c4df9d04f07",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.06674667,
      "odds": 1.31,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.814, model EV=+6.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e6167b485461a9e9",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.01188257,
      "odds": 1.41,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.718, model EV=+1.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-067299588ffcf8d6",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04081011,
      "odds": 2.88,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.333, model EV=-4.1%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-47186c4df9d04f07",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04805388,
      "odds": 1.31,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.727, model EV=-4.8%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e6167b485461a9e9",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05436231,
      "odds": 1.41,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.671, model EV=-5.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1e7b96f99d1a79df",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.06032068,
      "odds": 2.53,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.419, model EV=+6.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-687d41907c79510d",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.03349606,
      "odds": 2.7,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.383, model EV=+3.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-067299588ffcf8d6",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.02523435,
      "odds": 2.38,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.431, model EV=+2.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e6167b485461a9e9",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01075069,
      "odds": 2.61,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.379, model EV=-1.1%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-c7a9710e1be31769",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01723288,
      "odds": 1.44,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.682, model EV=-1.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1e7b96f99d1a79df",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03787685,
      "odds": 2.53,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.380, model EV=-3.8%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e6167b485461a9e9",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02684318,
      "odds": 2.61,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.373, model EV=-2.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-47186c4df9d04f07",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03679567,
      "odds": 2.99,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.322, model EV=-3.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1e7b96f99d1a79df",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04221929,
      "odds": 2.24,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.428, model EV=-4.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e6167b485461a9e9",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.02418046,
      "odds": 2.61,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.392, model EV=+2.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-687d41907c79510d",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.00089649,
      "odds": 2.7,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.371, model EV=+0.1%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-1e7b96f99d1a79df",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01258616,
      "odds": 2.56,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.386, model EV=-1.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-47186c4df9d04f07",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.00032715,
      "odds": 1.31,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.764, model EV=+0.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-c7a9710e1be31769",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01233926,
      "odds": 2.09,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.473, model EV=-1.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e6167b485461a9e9",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02115963,
      "odds": 1.41,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.694, model EV=-2.1%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    }
  ],
  "fingerprint": "sha256:3ad02781618f5dae84ce273f32533d465cc924996fa6fdc726f0f541d0416a9c",
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "away": "Paris SG",
      "competition": "Ligue 1",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.8143104335618574,
          "draw": 0.12121757811233397,
          "home": 0.06447198832580864,
          "over25": 0.7176407067598869,
          "under25": 0.2823592932401131
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.7266764305237793,
          "draw": 0.1710851501562288,
          "home": 0.10223841931999186,
          "over25": 0.6868741065148285,
          "under25": 0.3131258934851715
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.7228428720993083,
          "draw": 0.16405555889297727,
          "home": 0.11310156900771443,
          "over25": 0.6694159287254821,
          "under25": 0.33058407127451794
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.7207416475564621,
          "draw": 0.16625404086854448,
          "home": 0.11300431157499351,
          "over25": 0.6778580828849577,
          "under25": 0.32214191711504225
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.7326268940290166,
          "draw": 0.1577510915855011,
          "home": 0.10962201438548227,
          "over25": 0.7014373065818743,
          "under25": 0.2985626934181257
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.7236085139353483,
          "draw": 0.16259470896317432,
          "home": 0.11379677710147736,
          "over25": 0.6873563218390805,
          "under25": 0.3126436781609196
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.6624173584631682,
          "draw": 0.17273630178037924,
          "home": 0.16484633975645263,
          "over25": 0.670587555400625,
          "under25": 0.329412444599375
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.70870007,
          "draw": 0.18534454,
          "home": 0.10595539,
          "over25": 0.52957184,
          "under25": 0.47042816
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.7636085139353483,
          "draw": 0.16259470896317432,
          "home": 0.07379677710147735,
          "over25": 0.6873563218390805,
          "under25": 0.31264367816091954
        }
      },
      "home": "Le Havre",
      "id": "replay-47186c4df9d04f07",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 1.31,
        "draw": 5.83,
        "home": 8.33,
        "over25": 1.36,
        "under25": 2.99
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Rennes",
      "competition": "Ligue 1",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.39195126257419116,
          "draw": 0.25686472764538765,
          "home": 0.3511840097804212,
          "over25": 0.622516126674341,
          "under25": 0.377483873325659
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.3724376274427412,
          "draw": 0.2640516338911403,
          "home": 0.36351073866611855,
          "over25": 0.5818685511710255,
          "under25": 0.41813144882897446
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.4190990828887643,
          "draw": 0.24436310483519652,
          "home": 0.33653781227603924,
          "over25": 0.6132399037302902,
          "under25": 0.38676009626970975
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.37101824094499136,
          "draw": 0.2621758329439816,
          "home": 0.36680592611102697,
          "over25": 0.5724193275791178,
          "under25": 0.42758067242088216
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.3802858294300571,
          "draw": 0.2562040612316587,
          "home": 0.36351010933828426,
          "over25": 0.5969808665719357,
          "under25": 0.4030191334280643
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.3726704100078386,
          "draw": 0.2590264113516021,
          "home": 0.3683031786405592,
          "over25": 0.5818181818181818,
          "under25": 0.41818181818181815
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.3655298164574834,
          "draw": 0.2487616512651657,
          "home": 0.3857085322773509,
          "over25": 0.5727864559504905,
          "under25": 0.4272135440495095
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.36020745,
          "draw": 0.25653565,
          "home": 0.38325689,
          "over25": 0.51326066,
          "under25": 0.48673934
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.38314660048402915,
          "draw": 0.2590264113516021,
          "home": 0.35782698816436875,
          "over25": 0.5818181818181818,
          "under25": 0.4181818181818182
        }
      },
      "home": "Nice",
      "id": "replay-1e7b96f99d1a79df",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.53,
        "draw": 3.64,
        "home": 2.56,
        "over25": 1.61,
        "under25": 2.24
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Mainz",
      "competition": "Bundesliga",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.4701240796514178,
          "draw": 0.24252062902552282,
          "home": 0.28735529132305937,
          "over25": 0.7460083418147005,
          "under25": 0.25399165818529945
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.45046819690742174,
          "draw": 0.2551886818105143,
          "home": 0.294343121282064,
          "over25": 0.650251984114351,
          "under25": 0.34974801588564897
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.3980689822128261,
          "draw": 0.2326964767966268,
          "home": 0.36923454099054703,
          "over25": 0.6782747716250002,
          "under25": 0.32172522837499984
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.4518865715304998,
          "draw": 0.24642388936402673,
          "home": 0.30168953910547347,
          "over25": 0.6467444395336573,
          "under25": 0.35325556046634266
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.46761569749950843,
          "draw": 0.23856719451833236,
          "home": 0.29381710798215926,
          "over25": 0.6824771680490465,
          "under25": 0.31752283195095354
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.45018399683707916,
          "draw": 0.24630485690824486,
          "home": 0.3035111462546759,
          "over25": 0.6496350364963503,
          "under25": 0.35036496350364965
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.41239500592879585,
          "draw": 0.23505728257175637,
          "home": 0.3525477114994478,
          "over25": 0.6420072882164082,
          "under25": 0.3579927117835918
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.26980264,
          "draw": 0.20222433,
          "home": 0.52797304,
          "over25": 0.73292549,
          "under25": 0.26707451
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.4725649492180315,
          "draw": 0.24630485690824488,
          "home": 0.28113019387372357,
          "over25": 0.6496350364963503,
          "under25": 0.35036496350364965
        }
      },
      "home": "Elversberg",
      "id": "replay-c7a9710e1be31769",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-30T19:30:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.09,
        "draw": 3.82,
        "home": 3.1,
        "over25": 1.44,
        "under25": 2.67
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Chesterfield",
      "competition": "League Two",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.5074514443535327,
          "draw": 0.2545080313390918,
          "home": 0.2380405243073755,
          "over25": 0.5340014441047598,
          "under25": 0.4659985558952402
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.5166877885560119,
          "draw": 0.25952123719915365,
          "home": 0.22379097424483438,
          "over25": 0.5227471409429599,
          "under25": 0.47725285905704007
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.4984047199282788,
          "draw": 0.25385197877564175,
          "home": 0.2477433012960795,
          "over25": 0.5163895013242223,
          "under25": 0.48361049867577766
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.5065092877751465,
          "draw": 0.2583788961666567,
          "home": 0.23511181605819692,
          "over25": 0.5128096968294189,
          "under25": 0.4871903031705811
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.5148635707201992,
          "draw": 0.2535164259894976,
          "home": 0.23162000329030324,
          "over25": 0.5202246750638989,
          "under25": 0.4797753249361011
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.5158751809959499,
          "draw": 0.2537091054078442,
          "home": 0.23041571359620588,
          "over25": 0.5227882037533512,
          "under25": 0.47721179624664883
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.48303924951213173,
          "draw": 0.24837435070975097,
          "home": 0.2685863997781173,
          "over25": 0.5113392042917024,
          "under25": 0.48866079570829757
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.43933238,
          "draw": 0.25729372,
          "home": 0.3033739,
          "over25": 0.49582547,
          "under25": 0.50417453
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.523018038138807,
          "draw": 0.25370910540784425,
          "home": 0.22327285645334877,
          "over25": 0.5227882037533512,
          "under25": 0.4772117962466488
        }
      },
      "home": "Newport County",
      "id": "replay-64af26ffd546c598",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-30T19:45:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 1.8,
        "draw": 3.66,
        "home": 4.03,
        "over25": 1.78,
        "under25": 1.95
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Wrexham",
      "competition": "Championship",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.32575565672292994,
          "draw": 0.28005262442747414,
          "home": 0.3941917188495959,
          "over25": 0.5272990035212883,
          "under25": 0.47270099647871167
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.33305204343600436,
          "draw": 0.2738891209320039,
          "home": 0.3930588356319918,
          "over25": 0.4976270237143008,
          "under25": 0.5023729762856992
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.3058896960495386,
          "draw": 0.26333956715582546,
          "home": 0.43077073679463596,
          "over25": 0.5324937054614803,
          "under25": 0.46750629453851966
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.32106142998851217,
          "draw": 0.28224366267008505,
          "home": 0.3966949073414028,
          "over25": 0.48973545572685223,
          "under25": 0.5102645442731477
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.3221914890524717,
          "draw": 0.2766852664241836,
          "home": 0.4011232445233447,
          "over25": 0.50576879358878,
          "under25": 0.49423120641122
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.32575565670019696,
          "draw": 0.280052624267632,
          "home": 0.3941917190321711,
          "over25": 0.49732620320855614,
          "under25": 0.5026737967914439
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.3276180066853449,
          "draw": 0.2658612947288035,
          "home": 0.40652069858585155,
          "over25": 0.5014075107370579,
          "under25": 0.4985924892629421
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.43012509,
          "draw": 0.26061366,
          "home": 0.30926125,
          "over25": 0.48445832,
          "under25": 0.51554168
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.3119461328906731,
          "draw": 0.280052624267632,
          "home": 0.4080012428416949,
          "over25": 0.49732620320855614,
          "under25": 0.5026737967914439
        }
      },
      "home": "Sheffield United",
      "id": "replay-067299588ffcf8d6",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-30T20:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.88,
        "draw": 3.35,
        "home": 2.38,
        "over25": 1.88,
        "under25": 1.86
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Espanol",
      "competition": "La Liga",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.11237609285408234,
          "draw": 0.16997669102491275,
          "home": 0.7176472161210049,
          "over25": 0.6327628352644454,
          "under25": 0.36723716473555457
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.13583115375047802,
          "draw": 0.19350381709370248,
          "home": 0.6706650291558195,
          "over25": 0.6389360776971464,
          "under25": 0.36106392230285356
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.14625905450909987,
          "draw": 0.19153011751863508,
          "home": 0.662210827972265,
          "over25": 0.6287527340020793,
          "under25": 0.3712472659979207
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.1443969108423338,
          "draw": 0.19604291566202553,
          "home": 0.6595601734956407,
          "over25": 0.6271429811116119,
          "under25": 0.37285701888838807
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.14408396542982035,
          "draw": 0.19233352365662973,
          "home": 0.6635825109135499,
          "over25": 0.6209772760825515,
          "under25": 0.3790227239174485
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.14077459138573709,
          "draw": 0.1892980978353298,
          "home": 0.6699273107789332,
          "over25": 0.6397058823529411,
          "under25": 0.3602941176470588
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.16918402857420412,
          "draw": 0.19530845406978914,
          "home": 0.6355075173560067,
          "over25": 0.6075936917850798,
          "under25": 0.3924063082149202
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.20802072,
          "draw": 0.22404683,
          "home": 0.56793245,
          "over25": 0.55889865,
          "under25": 0.44110135
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.11648887710002276,
          "draw": 0.1892980978353298,
          "home": 0.6942130250646474,
          "over25": 0.6397058823529411,
          "under25": 0.3602941176470589
        }
      },
      "home": "Villarreal",
      "id": "replay-e6167b485461a9e9",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-30T20:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 6.71,
        "draw": 4.99,
        "home": 1.41,
        "over25": 1.47,
        "under25": 2.61
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Lens",
      "competition": "Ligue 1",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.3657830362689546,
          "draw": 0.27566733061110993,
          "home": 0.3585496331199355,
          "over25": 0.487593033176454,
          "under25": 0.512406966823546
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.37473908734864103,
          "draw": 0.2772594253892745,
          "home": 0.34800148726208446,
          "over25": 0.5011020763938121,
          "under25": 0.4988979236061879
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.3493928502135905,
          "draw": 0.26783082959975385,
          "home": 0.3827763201866557,
          "over25": 0.5104694525658494,
          "under25": 0.4895305474341506
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.3705356818551635,
          "draw": 0.27944380655095324,
          "home": 0.3500205115938833,
          "over25": 0.4951289669672715,
          "under25": 0.5048710330327285
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.37137379711372254,
          "draw": 0.27769619035258,
          "home": 0.3509300125336975,
          "over25": 0.4859435375353134,
          "under25": 0.5140564624646866
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.3742044041261248,
          "draw": 0.27653815202282533,
          "home": 0.3492574438510498,
          "over25": 0.5013404825737265,
          "under25": 0.49865951742627346
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.3667654988807152,
          "draw": 0.26253209843966885,
          "home": 0.3707024026796159,
          "over25": 0.5089844943742469,
          "under25": 0.49101550562575313
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.29544851,
          "draw": 0.26910753,
          "home": 0.43544396,
          "over25": 0.44555316,
          "under25": 0.55444684
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.37182345174517245,
          "draw": 0.27653815202282533,
          "home": 0.35163839623200216,
          "over25": 0.5013404825737265,
          "under25": 0.49865951742627346
        }
      },
      "home": "Lille",
      "id": "replay-687d41907c79510d",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-30T20:05:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.52,
        "draw": 3.41,
        "home": 2.7,
        "over25": 1.86,
        "under25": 1.87
      },
      "score": null
    }
  ],
  "id": "daily-2026-10-30",
  "kickoff_window": "Next 24 hours",
  "label": "Daily slate \u00b7 30 October",
  "lock_at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00Z",
  "note": "Tips and stakes were published before the first kickoff and are now sealed for settlement.",
  "policy": {
    "bet_policy": {
      "evidence_status": "required-paper-picks-not-a-positive-value-claim",
      "flat_stake_units": 1.0,
      "longshot_decimal_odds": 5.0,
      "longshot_flat_stake_units": 5.0,
      "market_similarity_is_failure": false,
      "maximum_bets_per_fixture": 1,
      "maximum_bets_per_round": 3,
      "maximum_decimal_odds": 3.0,
      "maximum_longshot_bets": 1,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_fraction": 0.005,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_units": 5.0,
      "maximum_market_probability_gap": 0.15,
      "maximum_round_stake_fraction": 0.05,
      "maximum_round_stake_units": 3.0,
      "maximum_single_stake_fraction": 0.01,
      "maximum_total_open_exposure_fraction": 0.15,
      "minimum_point_ev": -1.0,
      "selection_mode": "required-ranked-paper",
      "stake_assignment": "commissioner-flat-capped",
      "starting_bankroll_units": 1000.0,
      "unsupported_without_evidence_decimal_odds": 8.0
    },
    "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "rubric_sha256": "7ef0538587aff0e3fee1741d26f53b9190b864412103d833aa4abcaf19ae761e",
    "rubric_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "validator_version": "2"
  },
  "published_at": "2026-10-30T10:05:29.047661Z",
  "snapshot_id": "sha256:a6cd51b5afe58230d0df1d0df0b08214b96aed9a952ea4c34c5b933e596e9544",
  "status": "sealed",
  "submission_meta": {
    "claude": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-30T10:05:09.856185Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 10,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 21,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-30T10:05:21.005891Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "codex": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-30T10:05:09.856185Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 10,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 21,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-30T10:05:21.004932Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "gemini": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-30T10:05:09.856185Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "bet 0 outside-paper-price-band"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 10,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 21,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-30T10:05:22.751473Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "glm-flash": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-30T10:05:09.856185Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 10,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 21,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-30T10:05:21.007196Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "kimi": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-30T10:05:09.856185Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 1,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 10,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 20,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-30T10:05:21.007046Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "mimo": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-30T10:05:09.856185Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 10,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 21,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-30T10:05:29.044547Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "qwen": {
      "decision_time": "2026-10-30T10:05:09.856185Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 10,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 21,
            "unsupported-extreme-price": 1
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-10-30T10:05:20.992760Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    }
  }
}