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          "away": 0.3838680985153089,
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        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.38794783990273096,
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          "away": 0.3777847424708131,
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          "away": 0.3963072683762092,
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        "market": {
          "away": 0.3754564567887573,
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          "away": 0.3611036490225398,
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          "away": 0.29855569,
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          "away": 0.37974217107447156,
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      "home": "Derby",
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      "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.49,
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        "home": 2.61,
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        "under25": 2.11
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    {
      "away": "Alaves",
      "competition": "La Liga",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.18416822193371518,
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          "away": 0.2171254122843388,
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          "away": 0.24306866969639435,
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          "away": 0.21526009216017084,
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        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.21575285025996188,
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        "market": {
          "away": 0.2153745555600965,
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          "away": 0.22354348476390556,
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          "away": 0.18747781,
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        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.21346979365533458,
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      "home": "Sevilla",
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      "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 4.38,
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  ],
  "id": "daily-2026-11-06",
  "kickoff_window": "Next 24 hours",
  "label": "Daily slate \u00b7 6 November",
  "lock_at": "2026-11-06T19:30:00Z",
  "note": "Tips and stakes were published before the first kickoff and are now sealed for settlement.",
  "policy": {
    "bet_policy": {
      "evidence_status": "required-paper-picks-not-a-positive-value-claim",
      "flat_stake_units": 1.0,
      "longshot_decimal_odds": 5.0,
      "longshot_flat_stake_units": 5.0,
      "market_similarity_is_failure": false,
      "maximum_bets_per_fixture": 1,
      "maximum_bets_per_round": 3,
      "maximum_decimal_odds": 3.0,
      "maximum_longshot_bets": 1,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_fraction": 0.005,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_units": 5.0,
      "maximum_market_probability_gap": 0.15,
      "maximum_round_stake_fraction": 0.05,
      "maximum_round_stake_units": 3.0,
      "maximum_single_stake_fraction": 0.01,
      "maximum_total_open_exposure_fraction": 0.15,
      "minimum_point_ev": -1.0,
      "selection_mode": "required-ranked-paper",
      "stake_assignment": "commissioner-flat-capped",
      "starting_bankroll_units": 1000.0,
      "unsupported_without_evidence_decimal_odds": 8.0
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    "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "rubric_sha256": "7ef0538587aff0e3fee1741d26f53b9190b864412103d833aa4abcaf19ae761e",
    "rubric_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
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  "published_at": "2026-11-06T11:19:53.264684Z",
  "snapshot_id": "sha256:379e277183bda7fd09b54c7a543bec9a8a708946502d30dd61249f988bb54d71",
  "status": "sealed",
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          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
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        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
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          "longshot_bets": 0,
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          "status": "accepted",
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      "generated_at": "2026-11-06T11:19:44.864666Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
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    "codex": {
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          "validation_errors": [
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        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
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      "generated_at": "2026-11-06T11:19:44.862448Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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    "gemini": {
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          "status": "accepted",
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      "generated_at": "2026-11-06T11:19:46.710236Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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    "glm-flash": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-06T11:19:34.677769Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
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        "adapter": {
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          "validation_errors": [
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        "commissioner_fallback": {
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          "status": "accepted",
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      "generated_at": "2026-11-06T11:19:44.864014Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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    "kimi": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-06T11:19:34.677769Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
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          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
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        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
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            "round-bet-count-cap": 17
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          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 30,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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        "commissioner_fallback": {
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          "status": "accepted",
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      "generated_at": "2026-11-06T11:19:44.864623Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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    "mimo": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-06T11:19:34.677769Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
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        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
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          "dropped_by_reason": {
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            "outside-paper-price-band": 10,
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        "commissioner_fallback": {
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      "generated_at": "2026-11-06T11:19:53.261049Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
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    "qwen": {
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      "execution_provenance": {
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        "adapter": {
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          "validation_errors": [
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      "generated_at": "2026-11-06T11:19:44.852149Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
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}