{
  "available_bankrolls": {
    "claude": 976.58,
    "codex": 979.01,
    "gemini": 1007.9641,
    "glm-flash": 962.56,
    "kimi": 986.57,
    "mimo": 953.06,
    "qwen": 975.18
  },
  "bets": [
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-a97f655505306445",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.10361354,
      "odds": 1.93,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.572, model EV=+10.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-364cc4ebc3a1a5ea",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.09654336,
      "odds": 1.54,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.712, model EV=+9.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-5f195f693f2456a1",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.04896628,
      "odds": 1.9,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.552, model EV=+4.9%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-364cc4ebc3a1a5ea",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04419221,
      "odds": 2.06,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.464, model EV=-4.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-a97f655505306445",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04685185,
      "odds": 1.93,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.494, model EV=-4.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-055ebdaf9ca9c60d",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04728861,
      "odds": 1.57,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.607, model EV=-4.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-5f195f693f2456a1",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01884133,
      "odds": 1.9,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.516, model EV=-1.9%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-e31a38df5d9f6903",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02764109,
      "odds": 1.67,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.582, model EV=-2.8%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-364cc4ebc3a1a5ea",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.0328555,
      "odds": 1.54,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.628, model EV=-3.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-055ebdaf9ca9c60d",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.00317135,
      "odds": 2.38,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.419, model EV=-0.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-364cc4ebc3a1a5ea",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.0099264,
      "odds": 1.54,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.643, model EV=-1.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-a97f655505306445",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01652045,
      "odds": 1.77,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.556, model EV=-1.7%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-364cc4ebc3a1a5ea",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.049021,
      "odds": 2.38,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.400, model EV=-4.9%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-055ebdaf9ca9c60d",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04903673,
      "odds": 2.38,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.400, model EV=-4.9%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-5f195f693f2456a1",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05368578,
      "odds": 2.3,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.411, model EV=-5.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-103bf229597a4bc8",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01789426,
      "odds": 2.05,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.479, model EV=-1.8%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-055ebdaf9ca9c60d",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02887286,
      "odds": 2.38,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.408, model EV=-2.9%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-ba340020e7ff80c2",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03879941,
      "odds": 2.28,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.422, model EV=-3.9%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-a97f655505306445",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.01649346,
      "odds": 1.93,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.510, model EV=-1.6%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-5f195f693f2456a1",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02629261,
      "odds": 1.9,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.512, model EV=-2.6%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-055ebdaf9ca9c60d",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03439135,
      "odds": 1.57,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.615, model EV=-3.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    }
  ],
  "fingerprint": "sha256:83edbaefd4d932558a80b4301b599e5cd78ba3885362f26bf34773bc519f46b5",
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "away": "Brentford",
      "competition": "Premier League",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.21773758758787945,
          "draw": 0.23017489891724227,
          "home": 0.5520875134948783,
          "over25": 0.6228901143202199,
          "under25": 0.3771098856797801
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.25322487911178926,
          "draw": 0.2523024945629473,
          "home": 0.49447262632526345,
          "over25": 0.5941635259142769,
          "under25": 0.4058364740857231
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.24561940723197506,
          "draw": 0.23798129016628988,
          "home": 0.516399302601735,
          "over25": 0.5888377465447965,
          "under25": 0.4111622534552035
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.25809731477589615,
          "draw": 0.24669061494042566,
          "home": 0.49521207028367814,
          "over25": 0.588559035117787,
          "under25": 0.41144096488221304
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.2518616298445075,
          "draw": 0.2414328748084324,
          "home": 0.5067054953470601,
          "over25": 0.5868623559871704,
          "under25": 0.4131376440128296
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.2611467718257966,
          "draw": 0.2454232750928298,
          "home": 0.49342995308137355,
          "over25": 0.5943152454780362,
          "under25": 0.40568475452196384
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.28292860480795723,
          "draw": 0.23702771812030918,
          "home": 0.48004367707173357,
          "over25": 0.5913854598390168,
          "under25": 0.4086145401609832
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.39284265,
          "draw": 0.25410344,
          "home": 0.35305391,
          "over25": 0.52337301,
          "under25": 0.47662699
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.24209915277817748,
          "draw": 0.24542327509282982,
          "home": 0.5124775721289927,
          "over25": 0.5943152454780362,
          "under25": 0.40568475452196384
        }
      },
      "home": "Brighton",
      "id": "replay-5f195f693f2456a1",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 3.59,
        "draw": 3.82,
        "home": 1.9,
        "over25": 1.57,
        "under25": 2.3
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Liverpool",
      "competition": "Premier League",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.6513073982679229,
          "draw": 0.2007324509318593,
          "home": 0.1479601508002178,
          "over25": 0.5879066003153222,
          "under25": 0.41209339968467784
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.6068225424311096,
          "draw": 0.22326620643845363,
          "home": 0.16991125113043676,
          "over25": 0.6063606803034288,
          "under25": 0.3936393196965712
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.5859199163806929,
          "draw": 0.22006499781690883,
          "home": 0.19401508580239837,
          "over25": 0.6024484134278181,
          "under25": 0.3975515865721819
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.595138033360342,
          "draw": 0.22304055638409007,
          "home": 0.18182141025556797,
          "over25": 0.60043560126914,
          "under25": 0.39956439873086
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.6002890456873173,
          "draw": 0.22096700574026912,
          "home": 0.1787439485724136,
          "over25": 0.5811644326511916,
          "under25": 0.41883556734880845
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.5978945021601472,
          "draw": 0.21983474669588554,
          "home": 0.1822707511439672,
          "over25": 0.6071428571428571,
          "under25": 0.39285714285714285
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.5500577445186418,
          "draw": 0.21960276266326606,
          "home": 0.23033949281809216,
          "over25": 0.5919633861047278,
          "under25": 0.40803661389527224
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.59758972,
          "draw": 0.21084975,
          "home": 0.19156053,
          "over25": 0.59506902,
          "under25": 0.40493098
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.6150373593030044,
          "draw": 0.21983474669588557,
          "home": 0.16512789400111008,
          "over25": 0.6071428571428571,
          "under25": 0.3928571428571429
        }
      },
      "home": "Crystal Palace",
      "id": "replay-055ebdaf9ca9c60d",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 1.57,
        "draw": 4.27,
        "home": 5.15,
        "over25": 1.54,
        "under25": 2.38
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Bournemouth",
      "competition": "Premier League",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.5132033246196777,
          "draw": 0.24915520400658547,
          "home": 0.23764147137373695,
          "over25": 0.6007503296135417,
          "under25": 0.3992496703864583
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.49834522804902587,
          "draw": 0.2577055570210243,
          "home": 0.24394921492994975,
          "over25": 0.5595230958742062,
          "under25": 0.44047690412579377
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.43957448275247407,
          "draw": 0.24625488823150016,
          "home": 0.3141706290160257,
          "over25": 0.5822508440006935,
          "under25": 0.4177491559993065
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.4919095455997604,
          "draw": 0.2550658162810828,
          "home": 0.2530246381191568,
          "over25": 0.5567931577229331,
          "under25": 0.44320684227706686
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.4973975457236423,
          "draw": 0.25097260517252945,
          "home": 0.2516298491038282,
          "over25": 0.5801317396693695,
          "under25": 0.4198682603306305
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.49366678894331395,
          "draw": 0.25419157154262784,
          "home": 0.2521416395140582,
          "over25": 0.5593667546174144,
          "under25": 0.44063324538258575
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.45711580651257083,
          "draw": 0.24378553258768415,
          "home": 0.29909866089974496,
          "over25": 0.5639346989435361,
          "under25": 0.4360653010564639
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.25757724,
          "draw": 0.22827653,
          "home": 0.51414623,
          "over25": 0.59424037,
          "under25": 0.40575963
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.5041429794195044,
          "draw": 0.25419157154262784,
          "home": 0.24166544903786774,
          "over25": 0.5593667546174144,
          "under25": 0.44063324538258564
        }
      },
      "home": "Ipswich",
      "id": "replay-e31a38df5d9f6903",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 1.9,
        "draw": 3.69,
        "home": 3.72,
        "over25": 1.67,
        "under25": 2.12
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Chelsea",
      "competition": "Premier League",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.5718204854908842,
          "draw": 0.23526331646498067,
          "home": 0.19291619804413512,
          "over25": 0.562681994560352,
          "under25": 0.43731800543964805
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.4938591430139073,
          "draw": 0.25937381094333145,
          "home": 0.24676704604276123,
          "over25": 0.5269749653419553,
          "under25": 0.4730250346580447
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.4740764455624339,
          "draw": 0.2537275800060562,
          "home": 0.27219597443150995,
          "over25": 0.5435982422980912,
          "under25": 0.45640175770190883
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.48640995940821363,
          "draw": 0.26164962679974313,
          "home": 0.25194041379204324,
          "over25": 0.5216696003484111,
          "under25": 0.47833039965158886
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.5064577570150466,
          "draw": 0.2503709993970083,
          "home": 0.24317124358794512,
          "over25": 0.5556381612051903,
          "under25": 0.4443618387948097
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.4853031679512353,
          "draw": 0.2601764205960789,
          "home": 0.25452041145268584,
          "over25": 0.5267379679144386,
          "under25": 0.4732620320855615
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.4630826576077659,
          "draw": 0.24916728386079565,
          "home": 0.2877500585314384,
          "over25": 0.536077609022126,
          "under25": 0.463922390977874
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.36494587,
          "draw": 0.25195034,
          "home": 0.38310379,
          "over25": 0.53420885,
          "under25": 0.46579115
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.5095888822369496,
          "draw": 0.2601764205960789,
          "home": 0.23023469716697154,
          "over25": 0.5267379679144386,
          "under25": 0.4732620320855614
        }
      },
      "home": "Sunderland",
      "id": "replay-a97f655505306445",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 1.93,
        "draw": 3.6,
        "home": 3.68,
        "over25": 1.77,
        "under25": 1.97
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Lille",
      "competition": "Ligue 1",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.31783108542562755,
          "draw": 0.25745507406627544,
          "home": 0.4247138405080971,
          "over25": 0.6310562001266934,
          "under25": 0.3689437998733066
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.29765170048091116,
          "draw": 0.26065804466926146,
          "home": 0.4416902548498273,
          "over25": 0.5906824511443216,
          "under25": 0.4093175488556784
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.32994796398475074,
          "draw": 0.25218641567206707,
          "home": 0.4178656203431822,
          "over25": 0.5917463803159003,
          "under25": 0.4082536196840997
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.2998530051964409,
          "draw": 0.25974596096310437,
          "home": 0.44040103384045465,
          "over25": 0.5854144726324313,
          "under25": 0.4145855273675687
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.31889791047502875,
          "draw": 0.2537427905696778,
          "home": 0.42735929895529345,
          "over25": 0.5982513687525861,
          "under25": 0.4017486312474139
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.3000255317477463,
          "draw": 0.2577567413633953,
          "home": 0.4422177268888583,
          "over25": 0.5906735751295337,
          "under25": 0.4093264248704664
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.29807065817014183,
          "draw": 0.24674812031457388,
          "home": 0.4551812215152843,
          "over25": 0.5784207945674558,
          "under25": 0.42157920543254424
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.29188544,
          "draw": 0.26078275,
          "home": 0.44733181,
          "over25": 0.47638389,
          "under25": 0.52361611
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.3095493412715558,
          "draw": 0.2577567413633954,
          "home": 0.4326939173650488,
          "over25": 0.5906735751295337,
          "under25": 0.40932642487046633
        }
      },
      "home": "Rennes",
      "id": "replay-ba340020e7ff80c2",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 3.11,
        "draw": 3.62,
        "home": 2.11,
        "over25": 1.58,
        "under25": 2.28
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Milan",
      "competition": "Serie A",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.5302352896549285,
          "draw": 0.2655475754583866,
          "home": 0.20421713488668494,
          "over25": 0.48612468793300473,
          "under25": 0.5138753120669952
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.5238079332651985,
          "draw": 0.26920155251039735,
          "home": 0.2069905142244042,
          "over25": 0.4567235434593559,
          "under25": 0.543276456540644
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.5065340447600419,
          "draw": 0.2639423762662602,
          "home": 0.2295235789736978,
          "over25": 0.468575533846286,
          "under25": 0.531424466153714
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.5171744281802025,
          "draw": 0.2706735770375023,
          "home": 0.21215199478229516,
          "over25": 0.4521358653066268,
          "under25": 0.5478641346933733
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.5225825483382911,
          "draw": 0.26574256350533515,
          "home": 0.21167488815637375,
          "over25": 0.47519410714273347,
          "under25": 0.5248058928572665
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.5207645234302959,
          "draw": 0.26858915248553944,
          "home": 0.21064632408416464,
          "over25": 0.4562334217506631,
          "under25": 0.5437665782493368
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.49098416145059354,
          "draw": 0.2561614314733218,
          "home": 0.25285440707608464,
          "over25": 0.4790759686308223,
          "under25": 0.5209240313691776
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.56669226,
          "draw": 0.22701276,
          "home": 0.20629499,
          "over25": 0.5436759,
          "under25": 0.4563241
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.5302883329541055,
          "draw": 0.26858915248553944,
          "home": 0.20112251456035513,
          "over25": 0.4562334217506631,
          "under25": 0.5437665782493368
        }
      },
      "home": "Genoa",
      "id": "replay-103bf229597a4bc8",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 1.8,
        "draw": 3.49,
        "home": 4.45,
        "over25": 2.05,
        "under25": 1.72
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Atalanta",
      "competition": "Serie A",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.4477073284024865,
          "draw": 0.2514811283680213,
          "home": 0.3008115432294922,
          "over25": 0.7120411404978206,
          "under25": 0.28795885950217937
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.4639843617981056,
          "draw": 0.25508048933003885,
          "home": 0.28093514887185556,
          "over25": 0.6079208457147512,
          "under25": 0.39207915428524875
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.4143512563754297,
          "draw": 0.2419385843905112,
          "home": 0.3437101592340591,
          "over25": 0.6280159085104678,
          "under25": 0.37198409148953215
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.4493430160805454,
          "draw": 0.2526694290642484,
          "home": 0.2979875548552063,
          "over25": 0.6004289896060215,
          "under25": 0.39957101039397847
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.4565992776497956,
          "draw": 0.24667426710673648,
          "home": 0.29672645524346797,
          "over25": 0.6429049350057445,
          "under25": 0.3570950649942555
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.4565055874816152,
          "draw": 0.25144425406741366,
          "home": 0.2920501584509712,
          "over25": 0.6071428571428571,
          "under25": 0.39285714285714285
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.4396660713361805,
          "draw": 0.24258773362418137,
          "home": 0.3177461950396381,
          "over25": 0.5966003997649526,
          "under25": 0.4033996002350474
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.50769595,
          "draw": 0.24375112,
          "home": 0.24855293,
          "over25": 0.51754625,
          "under25": 0.48245375
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.4498389208149485,
          "draw": 0.25144425406741366,
          "home": 0.29871682511763786,
          "over25": 0.6071428571428571,
          "under25": 0.3928571428571429
        }
      },
      "home": "Monza",
      "id": "replay-364cc4ebc3a1a5ea",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.06,
        "draw": 3.74,
        "home": 3.22,
        "over25": 1.54,
        "under25": 2.38
      },
      "score": null
    }
  ],
  "id": "daily-2026-11-07-r3",
  "kickoff_window": "Next 24 hours",
  "label": "Daily slate \u00b7 8 November",
  "lock_at": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
  "note": "Tips and stakes were published before the first kickoff and are now sealed for settlement.",
  "policy": {
    "bet_policy": {
      "evidence_status": "required-paper-picks-not-a-positive-value-claim",
      "flat_stake_units": 1.0,
      "longshot_decimal_odds": 5.0,
      "longshot_flat_stake_units": 5.0,
      "market_similarity_is_failure": false,
      "maximum_bets_per_fixture": 1,
      "maximum_bets_per_round": 3,
      "maximum_decimal_odds": 3.0,
      "maximum_longshot_bets": 1,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_fraction": 0.005,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_units": 5.0,
      "maximum_market_probability_gap": 0.15,
      "maximum_round_stake_fraction": 0.05,
      "maximum_round_stake_units": 3.0,
      "maximum_single_stake_fraction": 0.01,
      "maximum_total_open_exposure_fraction": 0.15,
      "minimum_point_ev": -1.0,
      "selection_mode": "required-ranked-paper",
      "stake_assignment": "commissioner-flat-capped",
      "starting_bankroll_units": 1000.0,
      "unsupported_without_evidence_decimal_odds": 8.0
    },
    "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "rubric_sha256": "7ef0538587aff0e3fee1741d26f53b9190b864412103d833aa4abcaf19ae761e",
    "rubric_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "validator_version": "2"
  },
  "published_at": "2026-11-07T14:05:27.996379Z",
  "snapshot_id": "sha256:edb2a4628f2e2aeef7a052b2784891987a35e74ce6d7a4afc6d39d6bdce6e0ee",
  "status": "sealed",
  "submission_meta": {
    "claude": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T14:05:09.781912Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 14,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 18
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T14:05:20.115239Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "codex": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T14:05:09.781912Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 14,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 18
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T14:05:20.112874Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "gemini": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T14:05:09.781912Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "bet 0 outside-paper-price-band",
            "bet 1 outside-paper-price-band"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 14,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 18
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T14:05:21.793737Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "glm-flash": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T14:05:09.781912Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 14,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 18
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T14:05:20.111600Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "kimi": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T14:05:09.781912Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 14,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 18
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T14:05:20.122665Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "mimo": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T14:05:09.781912Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 14,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 18
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T14:05:27.993750Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "qwen": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T14:05:09.781912Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 14,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 18
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 35,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T14:05:20.101066Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    }
  }
}