{
  "available_bankrolls": {
    "claude": 972.54,
    "codex": 976.2,
    "gemini": 1009.3641,
    "glm-flash": 958.2,
    "kimi": 988.25,
    "mimo": 954.76,
    "qwen": 971.7
  },
  "bets": [
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-2c9ff925cbf20752",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.03852227,
      "odds": 2.06,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.504, model EV=+3.9%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-303dd9ce5cd374e6",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.00644874,
      "odds": 1.46,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.689, model EV=+0.6%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "claude",
      "fixture_id": "replay-8e1c1c39684a33a5",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": 0.00512028,
      "odds": 1.31,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.767, model EV=+0.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-2c9ff925cbf20752",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04575479,
      "odds": 2.06,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.463, model EV=-4.6%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-8e1c1c39684a33a5",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05983022,
      "odds": 1.31,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.718, model EV=-6.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "codex",
      "fixture_id": "replay-303dd9ce5cd374e6",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.06481489,
      "odds": 2.6,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.360, model EV=-6.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-303dd9ce5cd374e6",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.0022015,
      "odds": 2.17,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.460, model EV=-0.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "HOME",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-2c9ff925cbf20752",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02998504,
      "odds": 2.06,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.471, model EV=-3.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "gemini",
      "fixture_id": "replay-8e1c1c39684a33a5",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.06467657,
      "odds": 1.31,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.714, model EV=-6.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-303dd9ce5cd374e6",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02291462,
      "odds": 2.89,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.338, model EV=-2.3%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-2c9ff925cbf20752",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04781855,
      "odds": 1.75,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.544, model EV=-4.8%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "kimi",
      "fixture_id": "replay-8e1c1c39684a33a5",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.07469827,
      "odds": 1.31,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.706, model EV=-7.5%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-2c9ff925cbf20752",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05229614,
      "odds": 2.01,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.471, model EV=-5.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-303dd9ce5cd374e6",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05566399,
      "odds": 2.6,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.363, model EV=-5.6%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "UNDER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "glm-flash",
      "fixture_id": "replay-8e1c1c39684a33a5",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.06952696,
      "odds": 1.31,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.710, model EV=-7.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-303dd9ce5cd374e6",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.03435172,
      "odds": 2.89,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.334, model EV=-3.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-2c9ff925cbf20752",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.04438375,
      "odds": 1.75,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.546, model EV=-4.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "mimo",
      "fixture_id": "replay-8e1c1c39684a33a5",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.0662216,
      "odds": 1.31,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.713, model EV=-6.6%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-303dd9ce5cd374e6",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02199565,
      "odds": 2.89,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.338, model EV=-2.2%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-2c9ff925cbf20752",
      "market": "1X2",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.02395747,
      "odds": 2.06,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.474, model EV=-2.4%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "AWAY",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    },
    {
      "bot_id": "qwen",
      "fixture_id": "replay-8e1c1c39684a33a5",
      "market": "OU25",
      "model_ev_at_acceptance": -0.05984914,
      "odds": 1.31,
      "pnl": null,
      "reason": "Required paper pick ranked by forecast return: p=0.718, model EV=-6.0%. Commissioner selection from this bot's forecast; not a claim of positive betting value.",
      "result": "pending",
      "selection": "OVER25",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper",
      "sources": [],
      "stake": 1.0
    }
  ],
  "fingerprint": "sha256:3f1849d537bf87d67aa473ec5ce85f920e61746215b3596e306e4e9dcffdc4fe",
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "away": "Marseille",
      "competition": "Ligue 1",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.3417171329209191,
          "draw": 0.24568500616334085,
          "home": 0.41259786091574,
          "over25": 0.6893484495723646,
          "under25": 0.31065155042763537
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.3178160105629573,
          "draw": 0.25530729366666916,
          "home": 0.42687669577037357,
          "over25": 0.6403134181200628,
          "under25": 0.3596865818799372
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.30807479958357104,
          "draw": 0.23211022430417755,
          "home": 0.4598149761122514,
          "over25": 0.6742608974694976,
          "under25": 0.3257391025305024
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.32333670851436314,
          "draw": 0.24761226465822594,
          "home": 0.4290510268274109,
          "over25": 0.6367938431567103,
          "under25": 0.3632061568432897
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.3380918269472567,
          "draw": 0.242734663810421,
          "home": 0.4191735092423224,
          "over25": 0.6569857610068972,
          "under25": 0.3430142389931028
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.3231717140757681,
          "draw": 0.246429090680467,
          "home": 0.43039919524376496,
          "over25": 0.6403940886699507,
          "under25": 0.3596059113300492
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.33413435164414407,
          "draw": 0.2373450210285395,
          "home": 0.42852062732731644,
          "over25": 0.6300217491797094,
          "under25": 0.36997825082029057
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.33263646,
          "draw": 0.25999308,
          "home": 0.40737045,
          "over25": 0.49410046,
          "under25": 0.50589954
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.3384098093138632,
          "draw": 0.246429090680467,
          "home": 0.41516110000566975,
          "over25": 0.6403940886699507,
          "under25": 0.35960591133004927
        }
      },
      "home": "Lens",
      "id": "replay-303dd9ce5cd374e6",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:45:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.89,
        "draw": 3.79,
        "home": 2.17,
        "over25": 1.46,
        "under25": 2.6
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Juventus",
      "competition": "Serie A",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.5041370236449413,
          "draw": 0.25396523646140323,
          "home": 0.24189773989365548,
          "over25": 0.5581158796411236,
          "under25": 0.44188412035887636
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.4632258318746405,
          "draw": 0.26473288930927064,
          "home": 0.2720412788160889,
          "over25": 0.5346265913686071,
          "under25": 0.46537340863139287
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.4708810468407998,
          "draw": 0.2571924781281927,
          "home": 0.2719264750310076,
          "over25": 0.5393618136451444,
          "under25": 0.46063818635485565
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.4537515125568895,
          "draw": 0.2681181218117378,
          "home": 0.2781303656313727,
          "over25": 0.528505541312368,
          "under25": 0.47149445868763196
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.46122058073676353,
          "draw": 0.26290624006200436,
          "home": 0.27587317920123217,
          "over25": 0.544103685815839,
          "under25": 0.455896314184161
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.45523562419878566,
          "draw": 0.26566158239362564,
          "home": 0.2791027934075888,
          "over25": 0.5345744680851062,
          "under25": 0.4654255319148936
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.4315792243735635,
          "draw": 0.2524446846095049,
          "home": 0.3159760910169316,
          "over25": 0.5460664280544651,
          "under25": 0.45393357194553485
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.43661454,
          "draw": 0.25933935,
          "home": 0.3040461,
          "over25": 0.48764523,
          "under25": 0.51235477
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.4738070527702141,
          "draw": 0.26566158239362564,
          "home": 0.26053136483616024,
          "over25": 0.5345744680851063,
          "under25": 0.46542553191489366
        }
      },
      "home": "Fiorentina",
      "id": "replay-2c9ff925cbf20752",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:45:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 2.06,
        "draw": 3.53,
        "home": 3.36,
        "over25": 1.75,
        "under25": 2.01
      },
      "score": null
    },
    {
      "away": "Barcelona",
      "competition": "La Liga",
      "forecasts": {
        "claude": {
          "away": 0.49096795540296867,
          "draw": 0.22387023842972278,
          "home": 0.2851618061673086,
          "over25": 0.7672673907197041,
          "under25": 0.23273260928029593
        },
        "codex": {
          "away": 0.4974549931812732,
          "draw": 0.2491524445007075,
          "home": 0.25339256231801927,
          "over25": 0.7176868537553756,
          "under25": 0.28231314624462445
        },
        "gemini": {
          "away": 0.5122409094735672,
          "draw": 0.21909492022607907,
          "home": 0.2686641703003537,
          "over25": 0.7139873518360563,
          "under25": 0.2860126481639437
        },
        "glm-flash": {
          "away": 0.511967712458755,
          "draw": 0.22493874186402016,
          "home": 0.26309354567722476,
          "over25": 0.7102847648958149,
          "under25": 0.28971523510418506
        },
        "kimi": {
          "away": 0.5041640322281992,
          "draw": 0.22266058797598098,
          "home": 0.27317537979581985,
          "over25": 0.7063371959342816,
          "under25": 0.29366280406571843
        },
        "market": {
          "away": 0.5177822521574118,
          "draw": 0.22260947183014618,
          "home": 0.25960827601244196,
          "over25": 0.7176724137931035,
          "under25": 0.2823275862068966
        },
        "mimo": {
          "away": 0.4863272030713921,
          "draw": 0.21602789503942169,
          "home": 0.2976449018891862,
          "over25": 0.7128079379157416,
          "under25": 0.2871920620842584
        },
        "poisson": {
          "away": 0.35469424,
          "draw": 0.25016532,
          "home": 0.39514044,
          "over25": 0.54141865,
          "under25": 0.45858135
        },
        "qwen": {
          "away": 0.5177822521574118,
          "draw": 0.22260947183014618,
          "home": 0.25960827601244196,
          "over25": 0.7176724137931035,
          "under25": 0.28232758620689646
        }
      },
      "home": "Ath Madrid",
      "id": "replay-8e1c1c39684a33a5",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T20:00:00Z",
      "odds": {
        "away": 1.81,
        "draw": 4.21,
        "home": 3.61,
        "over25": 1.31,
        "under25": 3.33
      },
      "score": null
    }
  ],
  "id": "daily-2026-11-07-r9",
  "kickoff_window": "Next 24 hours",
  "label": "Daily slate \u00b7 8 November",
  "lock_at": "2026-11-08T19:45:00Z",
  "note": "Tips and stakes were published before the first kickoff and are now sealed for settlement.",
  "policy": {
    "bet_policy": {
      "evidence_status": "required-paper-picks-not-a-positive-value-claim",
      "flat_stake_units": 1.0,
      "longshot_decimal_odds": 5.0,
      "longshot_flat_stake_units": 5.0,
      "market_similarity_is_failure": false,
      "maximum_bets_per_fixture": 1,
      "maximum_bets_per_round": 3,
      "maximum_decimal_odds": 3.0,
      "maximum_longshot_bets": 1,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_fraction": 0.005,
      "maximum_longshot_stake_units": 5.0,
      "maximum_market_probability_gap": 0.15,
      "maximum_round_stake_fraction": 0.05,
      "maximum_round_stake_units": 3.0,
      "maximum_single_stake_fraction": 0.01,
      "maximum_total_open_exposure_fraction": 0.15,
      "minimum_point_ev": -1.0,
      "selection_mode": "required-ranked-paper",
      "stake_assignment": "commissioner-flat-capped",
      "starting_bankroll_units": 1000.0,
      "unsupported_without_evidence_decimal_odds": 8.0
    },
    "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "rubric_sha256": "7ef0538587aff0e3fee1741d26f53b9190b864412103d833aa4abcaf19ae761e",
    "rubric_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
    "validator_version": "2"
  },
  "published_at": "2026-11-07T20:05:43.304130Z",
  "snapshot_id": "sha256:4f368905a3095ba8faaf051452e29a6757ad703a596158a05d472b06e5139e02",
  "status": "sealed",
  "submission_meta": {
    "claude": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T20:05:15.920738Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 6,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 6
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T20:05:35.440468Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "codex": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T20:05:15.920738Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 2,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 6,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 4
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T20:05:35.440995Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "gemini": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T20:05:15.920738Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 2,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 6,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 4
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T20:05:37.117108Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "glm-flash": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T20:05:15.920738Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 3,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 6,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 3
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T20:05:35.444785Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "kimi": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T20:05:15.920738Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 2,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 6,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 4
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T20:05:35.448522Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "mimo": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T20:05:15.920738Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "fixture-bet-count-cap": 1,
            "outside-paper-price-band": 6,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 5
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T20:05:43.301774Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    },
    "qwen": {
      "decision_time": "2026-11-07T20:05:15.920738Z",
      "execution_provenance": {
        "accepted_via": "commissioner-predict-contract",
        "adapter": {
          "exit_code": 0,
          "status": "invalid",
          "timed_out": false,
          "valid": false,
          "validation_errors": [
            "required paper tips must match the ranked forecast selections and stakes"
          ],
          "validation_status": "failed"
        },
        "bet_policy_adjustment": {
          "adapter_requested_bets": 0,
          "adjusted": true,
          "applied": true,
          "dropped_by_reason": {
            "outside-paper-price-band": 6,
            "round-bet-count-cap": 6
          },
          "longshot_bets": 0,
          "official_bets": 3,
          "official_stake": 3.0,
          "policy_version": "ranked-paper-v3",
          "requested_bets": 15,
          "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
        },
        "commissioner_fallback": {
          "bets_preserved": false,
          "status": "accepted",
          "validation_status": "live"
        }
      },
      "generated_at": "2026-11-07T20:05:35.432059Z",
      "notes": "Required paper picks: up to three distinct fixtures, ranked by this bot's forecast return at listed odds; 1u each subject to available funds. Selections are assigned by the shared commissioner rule, not a positive-value claim.",
      "selection_basis": "required-ranked-paper"
    }
  }
}
